Football · England EFL Cup · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Salford City vs Shrewsbury

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Salford City1.87
Shrewsbury0.8
1X2
62% 24% 15%
Salford City Draw Shrewsbury
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Salford City 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWDWLLWWWD
Shrewsbury 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
LWDDLDDWLD
Head-to-head
Salford City 2–1–2 Shrewsbury (5 last)
  • Salford City1-2Shrewsbury
  • Shrewsbury1-3Salford City
  • Salford City2-1Shrewsbury
  • Salford City1-3Shrewsbury
  • Shrewsbury1-1Salford City
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salford City 1551 · Shrewsbury 1484
Salford CityDrawShrewsbury
Our model62%24%14%
Market62%23%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salford City (rating 1551 vs 1484).
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Salford CityShrewsbury
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.20.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.40.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.61.9 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 02.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Salford City 212 Shrewsbury

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/02/26
England League 2
Salford City1-2
HT 1-0
Shrewsbury
13/09/25
England League 2
Shrewsbury1-3
HT 0-1
Salford City
02/11/24
England FA Cup
Salford City2-1
HT 2-1
Shrewsbury
21/11/18
England FA Cup
Salford City1-3
HT 0-1
Shrewsbury
11/11/18
England FA Cup
Shrewsbury1-1
HT 1-1
Salford City

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSalford CityShrewsbury
Crawley Town 0-0 D 0-0 D
Bromley 2-0 W 1-2 L
Oldham 2-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Salford City (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salford City

WWDWLLWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Bradford
UK Friendlies
1-1 2-2 50 D
28/07 Carlisle
UK Friendlies
1-0 2-0 00 W
25/07 Dundee Utd
UK Friendlies
2-0 3-2 63 W
18/07 FC United of Manchester
UK Friendlies
1-0 4-1 91 W
25/05 Notts County
England League 2
0-2 0-3 34 L
15/05 Grimsby
England League 2
0-0 1-2 82 L
10/05 Grimsby
England League 2
2-1 2-1 44 W
02/05 Crawley Town
England League 2
0-0 0-0 112 D
23/04 Bromley
England League 2
0-0 2-0 63 W
18/04 Oldham
England League 2
2-0 2-1 45 W

Shrewsbury

LWDDLDDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/07 Hereford FC
UK Friendlies
0-1 1-1 122 D
25/07 West Brom
UK Friendlies
1-3 1-4 22 L
21/07 Everton U21
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-0 70 W
17/07 Radcliffe FC
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
14/07 Stafford Rangers
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 110 D
02/05 Gillingham
England League 2
0-0 0-1 53 L
25/04 Fleetwood Town
England League 2
0-1 2-2 53 D
18/04 Crawley Town
England League 2
0-0 0-0 23 D
11/04 Oldham
England League 2
1-0 1-0 34 W
07/04 Bromley
England League 2
1-1 1-2 13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salford City vs Shrewsbury?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Salford City win (62%). Probabilities: Salford City 62%, draw 24%, Shrewsbury 15%.

How many goals are expected in Salford City vs Shrewsbury?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Salford City 1.87 · Shrewsbury 0.8), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Salford City vs Shrewsbury?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.