Football · England EFL Cup · 07/08, 20:45
Prediction: Wolverhampton vs Port Vale
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Wolverhampton1.94
Port Vale0.7
1X2
Wolverhampton
Draw
Port Vale
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Wolverhampton
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Port Vale
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wolverhampton
0–1–0
Port Vale
(1 last)
- Port Vale0-0Wolverhampton
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wolverhampton 1472 · Port Vale 1505
| Wolverhampton | Draw | Port Vale | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 23% | 12% |
| Market | 69% | 17% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wolverhampton | Port Vale | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 38/38/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.7 | 2.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wolverhampton 0–1–0 Port Vale
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/16 Club Friendly List | Port Vale | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wolverhampton |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wolverhampton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Doncaster UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Real Sociedad Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 22/07 | Maidenhead Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Burnley England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Fulham England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Brighton England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Tottenham England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/04 | West Ham England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
Port Vale
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Real Murcia Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 18/07 | Wigan UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | Newcastle Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Tamworth Club Friendly List |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Kidsgrove Ath Club Friendly List |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Lincoln City England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 28/04 | Stockport England League 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Plymouth England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 22/04 | Cardiff England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wolverhampton vs Port Vale?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wolverhampton win (67%). Probabilities: Wolverhampton 67%, draw 19%, Port Vale 13%.
How many goals are expected in Wolverhampton vs Port Vale?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Wolverhampton 1.94 · Port Vale 0.7), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Wolverhampton vs Port Vale?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.