Football · England EFL Cup · 08/08, 16:00

Result and prediction: Sheff Wed vs Bolton

Final result

Sheff Wed 1-0 Bolton

Half time: 0-0

What we said before the match Our favourite did not win · Bolton 43%

31% 26% 43%

Sheff WedDrawBolton

Our model (Elo) vs Market

	Sheff Wed	Draw	Bolton
Our model	30%	27%	42%
Market	31%	25%	44%

Estimated total (goals) 2.8 · actual 1

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This is how the model reads today's matches, before they are played.