Football · Austria Bundesliga · 08/08, 17:00
Prediction: Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau
Team pages: Grazer AK · Austria Lustenau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Grazer AK1.12
Austria Lustenau1.05
1X2
Grazer AK
Draw
Austria Lustenau
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Grazer AK
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Austria Lustenau
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Grazer AK
2–2–2
Austria Lustenau
(6 last)
- Grazer AK0-0Austria Lustenau
- Austria Lustenau2-1Grazer AK
- Grazer AK2-0Austria Lustenau
- Austria Lustenau3-1Grazer AK
- Grazer AK1-1Austria Lustenau
- Austria Lustenau0-2Grazer AK
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Grazer AK 1496 · Austria Lustenau 1542
| Grazer AK | Draw | Austria Lustenau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 32% | 32% |
| Market | 37% | 29% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Austria Lustenau (rating 1496 vs 1542).
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grazer AK | Austria Lustenau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 33/56/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5 | 1.5 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grazer AK 2–2–2 Austria Lustenau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/21 Austria 2. Liga | Grazer AK | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Austria Lustenau |
| 25/07/21 Austria 2. Liga | Austria Lustenau | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Grazer AK |
| 12/05/21 Austria 2. Liga | Grazer AK | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Austria Lustenau |
| 11/12/20 Austria 2. Liga | Austria Lustenau | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Grazer AK |
| 06/06/20 Austria 2. Liga | Grazer AK | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Austria Lustenau |
| 18/08/19 Austria 2. Liga | Austria Lustenau | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Grazer AK |
Standings · Austria Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LASK Linz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | SK Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 3 | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Austria Lustenau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FK Austria Vienna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SCR Altach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Rapid Vienna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SV Ried | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Wolfsberger AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Hartberg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Grazer AK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grazer AK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Dynamo Dresden Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | SV Kapfenberg Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 07/07 | First Vienna FC 1894 Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Slovan Bratislava Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 19/06 | Gyori ETO Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Austria Lustenau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Kremser SC Austria Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/07 | Nurnberg II Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/07 | SW Bregenz Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 10/07 | Aarau Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | St Gallen Club Friendly List |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | FC Vaduz Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | Young Boys Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 26/06 | Wil 1900 Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 14/05 | SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 08/05 | SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Grazer AK win (37%). Probabilities: Grazer AK 37%, draw 30%, Austria Lustenau 33%.
How many goals are expected in Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Grazer AK 1.12 · Austria Lustenau 1.05), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.