Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 04/09, 20:00

Prediction: OFK Petrovac vs Sutjeska Niksic

Team pages: OFK Petrovac · Sutjeska Niksic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.86Total

OFK Petrovac0.94

Sutjeska Niksic0.91

1X2

35% 32% 33%

OFK Petrovac Draw Sutjeska Niksic

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

OFK Petrovac 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DLWDDLDWDD

Sutjeska Niksic 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLLLDW

Head-to-head

OFK Petrovac 2–1–3 Sutjeska Niksic (6 last)

OFK Petrovac0-1Sutjeska Niksic
Sutjeska Niksic2-1OFK Petrovac
OFK Petrovac0-1Sutjeska Niksic
Sutjeska Niksic1-1OFK Petrovac
OFK Petrovac1-0Sutjeska Niksic
Sutjeska Niksic0-3OFK Petrovac

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OFK Petrovac 1465 · Sutjeska Niksic 1462

	OFK Petrovac	Draw	Sutjeska Niksic
Our model	33%	35%	32%
Market	36%	30%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 1.86 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sutjeska Niksic: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OFK Petrovac	Sutjeska Niksic
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.4	2.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.00

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.63
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.92 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:13 +1’	2.50	3.00	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:19	2.61	2.78	2.87
13:27 +3’	2.62▲	2.75▼	2.89▲
15:27	2.60▼	2.78▲	2.88▼
19:08 +5’	2.63▲	2.82▲	2.92▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · OFK Petrovac 2–1–3 Sutjeska Niksic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Petrovac	0-1 HT 0-1	Sutjeska Niksic
25/02/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	Sutjeska Niksic	2-1 HT 0-0	OFK Petrovac
18/10/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Petrovac	0-1 HT 0-0	Sutjeska Niksic
17/08/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	Sutjeska Niksic	1-1 HT 1-1	OFK Petrovac
20/04/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Petrovac	1-0 HT 0-0	Sutjeska Niksic
26/02/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	Sutjeska Niksic	0-3 HT 0-2	OFK Petrovac

Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Decic Tuzi	5	4	1	0	8	1	13
2	FK Mornar Bar	6	3	3	0	8	4	12
3	FK Bokelj	6	2	2	2	2	3	8
4	OFK Petrovac	6	1	4	1	4	2	7
5	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	5	2	1	2	7	7	7
6	Buducnost Podgorica	5	1	2	2	2	4	5
7	FK Jezero	5	1	2	2	2	5	5
8	Sutjeska Niksic	6	1	2	3	6	7	5
9	FK Arsenal	5	0	4	1	1	2	4
10	OFK Mladost DG	5	1	1	3	5	10	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OFK Petrovac	Sutjeska Niksic
OFK Mladost DG	0-0 D	5-1 W
FK Jezero	3-0 W	0-0 D
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	0-0 D	1-4 L
FK Bokelj	0-1 L	0-1 L
Buducnost Podgorica	1-1 D	0-1 L
FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	1-0 W	1-3 L
FK Decic Tuzi	1-1 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: OFK Petrovac (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OFK Petrovac

DLWDDLDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
22/08	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
16/08	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	3-0	5	5	W
09/08	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	1	8	D
01/08	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
24/05	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	4	8	D
20/05	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
16/05	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
10/05	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
02/05	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	3	3	D

Sutjeska Niksic

WDWWLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	2-0	5-1	7	3	W
22/08	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
15/08	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-2	1-4	7	4	L
09/08	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
03/08	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	10	3	L
24/05	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Prva Liga	0-3	1-3	–	–	L
20/05	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
16/05	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
09/05	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
02/05	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	3-2	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OFK Petrovac vs Sutjeska Niksic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a OFK Petrovac win (35%). Probabilities: OFK Petrovac 35%, draw 32%, Sutjeska Niksic 33%.

How many goals are expected in OFK Petrovac vs Sutjeska Niksic?

The model expects 1.86 goals (OFK Petrovac 0.94 · Sutjeska Niksic 0.91), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in OFK Petrovac vs Sutjeska Niksic?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.