Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 13/09, 19:00
Prediction: Sutjeska Niksic vs FK Decic Tuzi
Team pages: Sutjeska Niksic · FK Decic Tuzi
See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Sutjeska Niksic1.36
FK Decic Tuzi1.02
1X2
Sutjeska Niksic
Draw
FK Decic Tuzi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sutjeska Niksic
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
FK Decic Tuzi
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sutjeska Niksic
3–3
FK Decic Tuzi
(6 last)
- Sutjeska Niksic3-0FK Decic Tuzi
- FK Decic Tuzi1-2Sutjeska Niksic
- FK Decic Tuzi2-1Sutjeska Niksic
- Sutjeska Niksic3-1FK Decic Tuzi
- FK Decic Tuzi3-1Sutjeska Niksic
- Sutjeska Niksic0-3FK Decic Tuzi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sutjeska Niksic 1458 · FK Decic Tuzi 1508
| Sutjeska Niksic | Draw | FK Decic Tuzi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 30% | 27% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Decic Tuzi (rating 1458 vs 1508).
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sutjeska Niksic | FK Decic Tuzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.1 | 2.8 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutjeska Niksic 3–0–3 FK Decic Tuzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | Sutjeska Niksic | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FK Decic Tuzi |
| 15/03/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Decic Tuzi | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sutjeska Niksic |
| 26/11/25 Montenegro Cup | FK Decic Tuzi | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Sutjeska Niksic |
| 22/11/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | Sutjeska Niksic | 3-1 HT 0-1 | FK Decic Tuzi |
| 17/09/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Decic Tuzi | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Sutjeska Niksic |
| 28/06/25 Europe Friendlies | Sutjeska Niksic | 0-3 HT 0-2 | FK Decic Tuzi |
Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Decic Tuzi | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | FK Mornar Bar | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | FK Bokelj | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | OFK Mladost DG | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 5 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 6 | Buducnost Podgorica | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | OFK Petrovac | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Sutjeska Niksic | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | FK Jezero | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 10 | FK Arsenal | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sutjeska Niksic | FK Decic Tuzi |
|---|---|---|
| OFK Petrovac | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| OFK Mladost DG | 5-1 W | 0-2 L |
| FK Jezero | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 1-4 L | 3-0 W |
| FK Bokelj | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Buducnost Podgorica | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Decic Tuzi (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sutjeska Niksic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 28/08 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-3 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 16/05 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
FK Decic Tuzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/08 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 20/05 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sutjeska Niksic vs FK Decic Tuzi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutjeska Niksic win (43%). Probabilities: Sutjeska Niksic 43%, draw 29%, FK Decic Tuzi 27%.
How many goals are expected in Sutjeska Niksic vs FK Decic Tuzi?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Sutjeska Niksic 1.36 · FK Decic Tuzi 1.02), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sutjeska Niksic vs FK Decic Tuzi?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.