Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 10/09, 19:00

Prediction: Buducnost Podgorica vs FK Jezero

Team pages: Buducnost Podgorica · FK Jezero

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.18Total

Buducnost Podgorica1.32

FK Jezero0.86

1X2

47% 30% 24%

Buducnost Podgorica Draw FK Jezero

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Buducnost Podgorica 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDWLDLDL

FK Jezero 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLDWLDLW

Head-to-head

Buducnost Podgorica 2–2–2 FK Jezero (6 last)

Buducnost Podgorica2-0FK Jezero
FK Jezero1-0Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica1-1FK Jezero
FK Jezero1-2Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica2-3FK Jezero
FK Jezero3-3Buducnost Podgorica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Buducnost Podgorica 1489 · FK Jezero 1489

	Buducnost Podgorica	Draw	FK Jezero
Our model	46%	31%	23%
Market	47%	29%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Buducnost Podgorica	FK Jezero
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.7	1.7 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.10

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 1.96
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.92 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
06:48 +3’	1.91	3.10	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:29 +16’	1.96	3.06	3.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Buducnost Podgorica 2–2–2 FK Jezero

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/04/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Jezero
10/12/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Jezero	1-0 HT 0-0	Buducnost Podgorica
01/10/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Jezero
04/08/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Jezero	1-2 HT 1-0	Buducnost Podgorica
14/05/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	2-3 HT 1-2	FK Jezero
16/03/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Jezero	3-3 HT 2-1	Buducnost Podgorica

Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Decic Tuzi	6	4	1	1	8	3	13
2	FK Mornar Bar	7	3	3	1	8	5	12
3	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
4	FK Bokelj	6	2	2	2	2	3	8
5	FK Jezero	6	2	2	2	7	7	8
6	Sutjeska Niksic	7	2	2	3	7	7	8
7	OFK Petrovac	6	1	4	1	4	2	7
8	OFK Mladost DG	6	2	1	3	7	10	7
9	Buducnost Podgorica	6	1	2	3	2	6	5
10	FK Arsenal	6	0	4	2	3	7	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Buducnost Podgorica	FK Jezero
FK Mornar Bar	1-2 L	0-0 D
FK Arsenal	0-0 D	5-2 W
FK Decic Tuzi	0-2 L	1-2 L
Sutjeska Niksic	1-0 W	0-0 D
OFK Petrovac	1-1 D	0-3 L
FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Buducnost Podgorica

DDWDWLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
30/08	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
21/08	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-2	1-2	2	5	L
16/08	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
08/08	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
03/08	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
24/05	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	1	8	D
20/05	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	2-1	2-1	5	5	W
16/05	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
10/05	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	7	9	D

FK Jezero

LDLLDWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	2-2	5-2	4	4	W
30/08	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	1-2	0	3	L
22/08	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
16/08	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-3	3	5	L
09/08	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
02/08	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
24/05	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
20/05	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
16/05	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-2	2-2	1	5	D
10/05	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-3	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Buducnost Podgorica vs FK Jezero?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Buducnost Podgorica win (47%). Probabilities: Buducnost Podgorica 47%, draw 30%, FK Jezero 24%.

How many goals are expected in Buducnost Podgorica vs FK Jezero?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Buducnost Podgorica 1.32 · FK Jezero 0.86), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Buducnost Podgorica vs FK Jezero?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.