Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 14/09, 17:00

Prediction: OFK Mladost DG vs Buducnost Podgorica

Team pages: OFK Mladost DG · Buducnost Podgorica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

OFK Mladost DG1.17

Buducnost Podgorica1.26

1X2

33% 29% 38%

OFK Mladost DG Draw Buducnost Podgorica

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

OFK Mladost DG 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Buducnost Podgorica 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

OFK Mladost DG 4–2 Buducnost Podgorica (6 last)

Buducnost Podgorica0-1OFK Mladost DG
OFK Mladost DG1-4Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica0-1OFK Mladost DG
OFK Mladost DG3-1Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica1-2OFK Mladost DG
OFK Mladost DG1-3Buducnost Podgorica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OFK Mladost DG 1498 · Buducnost Podgorica 1486

	OFK Mladost DG	Draw	Buducnost Podgorica
Our model	33%	30%	37%
Market	33%	29%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours OFK Mladost DG: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OFK Mladost DG	Buducnost Podgorica
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	0.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.6	1.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.10

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.77
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.58 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:23 +1’	2.70	3.10	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:12 +72’	2.77	2.92	2.58

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · OFK Mladost DG 4–0–2 Buducnost Podgorica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	0-1 HT 0-0	OFK Mladost DG
07/03/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Mladost DG	1-4 HT 1-1	Buducnost Podgorica
02/11/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	0-1 HT 0-0	OFK Mladost DG
31/08/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Mladost DG	3-1 HT 0-1	Buducnost Podgorica
03/04/24 Montenegro Prva Liga	Buducnost Podgorica	1-2 HT 1-2	OFK Mladost DG
10/12/23 Montenegro Prva Liga	OFK Mladost DG	1-3 HT 1-2	Buducnost Podgorica

Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Decic Tuzi	7	4	2	1	9	4	14
2	FK Mornar Bar	7	3	3	1	8	5	12
3	FK Bokelj	7	3	2	2	4	4	11
4	OFK Mladost DG	7	3	1	3	8	10	10
5	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	7	3	1	3	10	9	10
6	Buducnost Podgorica	7	2	2	3	5	6	8
7	OFK Petrovac	7	1	5	1	5	3	8
8	Sutjeska Niksic	7	2	2	3	7	7	8
9	FK Jezero	7	2	2	3	7	10	8
10	FK Arsenal	7	0	4	3	3	8	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OFK Mladost DG	Buducnost Podgorica
FK Arsenal	1-0 W	0-0 D
FK Decic Tuzi	2-0 W	0-2 L
Sutjeska Niksic	1-5 L	1-0 W
OFK Petrovac	0-0 D	1-1 D
FK Mornar Bar	2-3 L	1-2 L
FK Jezero	0-1 L	3-0 W
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: OFK Mladost DG (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OFK Mladost DG

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
05/09	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
28/08	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-2	1-5	6	3	L
22/08	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
16/08	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	2-2	2-3	10	2	L
09/08	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
02/08	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	2-1	3	5	W
24/05	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	3-0	4-1	3	5	W
20/05	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	5	8	L
16/05	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	2-0	2-2	4	5	D

Buducnost Podgorica

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
05/09	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
30/08	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
21/08	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-2	1-2	2	5	L
16/08	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
08/08	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
03/08	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
24/05	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	1	8	D
20/05	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	2-1	2-1	5	5	W
16/05	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OFK Mladost DG vs Buducnost Podgorica?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Buducnost Podgorica win (38%). Probabilities: OFK Mladost DG 33%, draw 29%, Buducnost Podgorica 38%.

How many goals are expected in OFK Mladost DG vs Buducnost Podgorica?

The model expects 2.43 goals (OFK Mladost DG 1.17 · Buducnost Podgorica 1.26), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in OFK Mladost DG vs Buducnost Podgorica?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.