Football · Brazil Copa Rio · 23/07, 00:30
Prediction: Sampaio Correa RJ vs Resende RJ
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Sampaio Correa RJ1.33
Resende RJ0.88
1X2
Sampaio Correa RJ
Draw
Resende RJ
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sampaio Correa RJ
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Resende RJ
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sampaio Correa RJ
1–1
Resende RJ
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sampaio Correa RJ 1481 · Resende RJ 1515
| Sampaio Correa RJ | Draw | Resende RJ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 31% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sampaio Correa RJ | Resende RJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.6 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.7 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sampaio Correa RJ 1–0–1 Resende RJ
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/26 Brazil Copa Rio | Resende RJ | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sampaio Correa RJ |
| 21/06/23 Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 | Resende RJ | 4-1 HT 0-0 | Sampaio Correa RJ |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sampaio Correa RJ
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Resende RJ Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Portuguesa Desportos Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Portuguesa Desportos Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Noroeste Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Velo Clube SP Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 24/05 | Marica RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 16/05 | Nova Iguacu Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 13 | L |
| 09/05 | XV Piracicaba Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 07/05 | Avai Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | XV Piracicaba Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Resende RJ
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Marica RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 16/07 | Sampaio Correa RJ Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | Marica RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 12 | L |
| 24/06 | SE Belford Roxo Brazil Copa Rio |
3-0 | 8-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | SE Belford Roxo Brazil Copa Rio |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Araruama FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sampaio Correa RJ vs Resende RJ?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sampaio Correa RJ win (48%). Probabilities: Sampaio Correa RJ 48%, draw 27%, Resende RJ 25%.
How many goals are expected in Sampaio Correa RJ vs Resende RJ?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Sampaio Correa RJ 1.33 · Resende RJ 0.88), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sampaio Correa RJ vs Resende RJ?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.