Football · Brazil Copa Rio · 21/07, 00:00
Prediction: Volta Redonda vs Sao Goncalo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Volta Redonda1.8
Sao Goncalo0.71
1X2
Volta Redonda
Draw
Sao Goncalo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Volta Redonda
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Sao Goncalo
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Volta Redonda
0–1–2
Sao Goncalo
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Volta Redonda 1493 · Sao Goncalo 1511
| Volta Redonda | Draw | Sao Goncalo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 24% | 13% |
| Market | 64% | 21% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sao Goncalo: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Volta Redonda | Sao Goncalo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 2.1 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 6.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Volta Redonda 0–1–2 Sao Goncalo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/26 Brazil Copa Rio | Sao Goncalo | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Volta Redonda |
| 22/08/18 Brazil Copa Rio | Volta Redonda | 3-3 HT 1-3 | Sao Goncalo |
| 07/08/18 Brazil Copa Rio | Sao Goncalo | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Volta Redonda |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Volta Redonda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Sao Goncalo Brazil Copa Rio |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 14/07 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 05/07 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
0-3 | 0-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 01/07 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 20/06 | Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Itabaiana Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 28/05 | Avai Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/05 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Avai Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
Sao Goncalo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Volta Redonda Brazil Copa Rio |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 24/06 | Serrano Brazil Copa Rio |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 20/06 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Serrano Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Araruama FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 06/06 | Olaria AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/06 | America RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Cabofriense Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 13 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Volta Redonda vs Sao Goncalo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Volta Redonda win (63%). Probabilities: Volta Redonda 63%, draw 22%, Sao Goncalo 14%.
How many goals are expected in Volta Redonda vs Sao Goncalo?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Volta Redonda 1.8 · Sao Goncalo 0.71), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Volta Redonda vs Sao Goncalo?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.