Football · Russia Premier League · 10/10, 18:30
Prediction: Krasnodar vs Zenit St Petersburg
Team pages: Krasnodar · Zenit St Petersburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Krasnodar1.53
Zenit St Petersburg0.77
1X2
Krasnodar
Draw
Zenit St Petersburg
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Krasnodar
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Zenit St Petersburg
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Krasnodar
2–1–3
Zenit St Petersburg
(6 last)
- Zenit St Petersburg1-1Krasnodar
- Krasnodar3-0Zenit St Petersburg
- Krasnodar0-2Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg4-1Krasnodar
- Krasnodar2-0Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg4-2Krasnodar
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krasnodar (rating 1611 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Zenit St Petersburg: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Krasnodar | Zenit St Petersburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.7 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.4 | – / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Krasnodar 2–1–3 Zenit St Petersburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Krasnodar |
| 06/02/26 Club Friendly List | Krasnodar | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 21/09/25 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 13/04/25 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Krasnodar |
| 28/09/24 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 13/07/24 Russia Super Cup | Zenit St Petersburg | 4-2 HT 3-0 | Krasnodar |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 12 |
| 8 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 11 |
| 9 | Krylia Sovetov | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 10 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
| 11 | FC Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 9 |
| 12 | Rostov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 8 |
| 13 | Akron Tolyatti | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Krasnodar | Zenit St Petersburg |
|---|---|---|
| FC Orenburg | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Akron Tolyatti | 1-1 D | 5-0 W |
| Rostov | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Spartak Moscow | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Fakel Voronezh | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Zenit St Petersburg (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Krasnodar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 13/09 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 05/09 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Zenit St Petersburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 16/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Krasnodar vs Zenit St Petersburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Krasnodar win (54%). Probabilities: Krasnodar 54%, draw 28%, Zenit St Petersburg 18%.
How many goals are expected in Krasnodar vs Zenit St Petersburg?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Krasnodar 1.53 · Zenit St Petersburg 0.77), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Krasnodar vs Zenit St Petersburg?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.