Football · Russia Premier League · 18/10, 15:15
Prediction: Dinamo Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
Team pages: Dinamo Moscow · CSKA Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Dinamo Moscow1.92
CSKA Moscow1.08
1X2
Dinamo Moscow
Draw
CSKA Moscow
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Dinamo Moscow
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
CSKA Moscow
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dinamo Moscow
2–2–2
CSKA Moscow
(6 last)
- Dinamo Moscow5-2CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow1-4Dinamo Moscow
- CSKA Moscow1-1Dinamo Moscow
- Dinamo Moscow1-3CSKA Moscow
- Dinamo Moscow0-0CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow3-1Dinamo Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Moscow (rating 1607 vs 1535).
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dinamo Moscow | CSKA Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.6 | – / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Moscow 2–2–2 CSKA Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Club Friendly List | Dinamo Moscow | 5-2 HT 4-1 | CSKA Moscow |
| 08/03/26 Russia Premier League | CSKA Moscow | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 06/02/26 Club Friendly List | CSKA Moscow | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 17/08/25 Russia Premier League | Dinamo Moscow | 1-3 HT 0-3 | CSKA Moscow |
| 16/04/25 Russia Cup | Dinamo Moscow | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CSKA Moscow |
| 06/04/25 Russia Premier League | CSKA Moscow | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 4 | Zenit St Petersburg | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 13 |
| 7 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 11 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 9 |
| 15 | Fakel Voronezh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 6 |
| 16 | Rodina Moscow | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dinamo Moscow | CSKA Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Rubin Kazan | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Rostov | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Rodina Moscow | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Zenit St Petersburg | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Krylia Sovetov | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 5 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CSKA Moscow (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dinamo Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/09 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
CSKA Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/09 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 28/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 24/07 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dinamo Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dinamo Moscow win (56%). Probabilities: Dinamo Moscow 56%, draw 24%, CSKA Moscow 20%.
How many goals are expected in Dinamo Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?
The model expects 3 goals (Dinamo Moscow 1.92 · CSKA Moscow 1.08), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dinamo Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.