Football · Russia Premier League · 18/10, 17:45
Prediction: Spartak Moscow vs Rubin Kazan
Team pages: Spartak Moscow · Rubin Kazan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Spartak Moscow1.83
Rubin Kazan0.76
1X2
Spartak Moscow
Draw
Rubin Kazan
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Spartak Moscow
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Rubin Kazan
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spartak Moscow
3–2–1
Rubin Kazan
(6 last)
- Rubin Kazan1-1Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow0-0Rubin Kazan
- Spartak Moscow2-1Rubin Kazan
- Rubin Kazan0-2Spartak Moscow
- Rubin Kazan2-1Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow1-0Rubin Kazan
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartak Moscow (rating 1576 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Spartak Moscow: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spartak Moscow | Rubin Kazan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 6.3 | – / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.3 | 3.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartak Moscow 3–2–1 Rubin Kazan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/26 Russia Cup | Rubin Kazan | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| 08/07/26 Club Friendly List | Spartak Moscow | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rubin Kazan |
| 11/05/26 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Rubin Kazan |
| 23/08/25 Russia Premier League | Rubin Kazan | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| 09/03/25 Russia Premier League | Rubin Kazan | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| 31/08/24 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rubin Kazan |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 4 | Zenit St Petersburg | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 13 |
| 7 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 11 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 9 |
| 15 | Fakel Voronezh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 6 |
| 16 | Rodina Moscow | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spartak Moscow | Rubin Kazan |
|---|---|---|
| Rostov | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Dinamo Moscow | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Orenburg | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Krasnodar | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Akhmat Grozny | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Rodina Moscow | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 5 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Spartak Moscow (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spartak Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/09 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 23/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
Rubin Kazan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/09 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 07/09 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 30/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 24/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 15/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spartak Moscow vs Rubin Kazan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartak Moscow win (62%). Probabilities: Spartak Moscow 62%, draw 24%, Rubin Kazan 14%.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Moscow vs Rubin Kazan?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Spartak Moscow 1.83 · Rubin Kazan 0.76), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Spartak Moscow vs Rubin Kazan?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.