Football · Russia Premier League · 18/10, 13:00
Prediction: Zenit St Petersburg vs FC Akhmat Grozny
Team pages: Zenit St Petersburg · FC Akhmat Grozny
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Zenit St Petersburg2.01
FC Akhmat Grozny0.81
1X2
Zenit St Petersburg
Draw
FC Akhmat Grozny
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Zenit St Petersburg
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
FC Akhmat Grozny
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zenit St Petersburg
5–1
FC Akhmat Grozny
(6 last)
- Zenit St Petersburg2-0FC Akhmat Grozny
- Zenit St Petersburg2-1FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Akhmat Grozny1-0Zenit St Petersburg
- FC Akhmat Grozny1-2Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg3-0FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Akhmat Grozny1-2Zenit St Petersburg
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zenit St Petersburg (rating 1587 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Zenit St Petersburg: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zenit St Petersburg | FC Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.5 | – / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zenit St Petersburg 5–0–1 FC Akhmat Grozny
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 17/09/25 Russia Cup | Zenit St Petersburg | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 09/08/25 Russia Premier League | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 30/07/25 Russia Cup | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 24/05/25 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 3-0 HT 2-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 27/11/24 Russia Cup | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Zenit St Petersburg |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 4 | Zenit St Petersburg | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 13 |
| 7 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 11 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 9 |
| 15 | Fakel Voronezh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 6 |
| 16 | Rodina Moscow | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zenit St Petersburg | FC Akhmat Grozny |
|---|---|---|
| Krasnodar | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Fakel Voronezh | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Spartak Moscow | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Akron Tolyatti | 5-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Zenit St Petersburg (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zenit St Petersburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 16/09 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 16/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
FC Akhmat Grozny
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 17/09 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 13/09 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 07/09 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 29/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zenit St Petersburg vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zenit St Petersburg win (64%). Probabilities: Zenit St Petersburg 64%, draw 22%, FC Akhmat Grozny 13%.
How many goals are expected in Zenit St Petersburg vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Zenit St Petersburg 2.01 · FC Akhmat Grozny 0.81), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Zenit St Petersburg vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.