Football · Russia Premier League · 17/10, 18:30
Prediction: Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krasnodar
Team pages: Lokomotiv Moscow · Krasnodar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Lokomotiv Moscow1.15
Krasnodar1.25
1X2
Lokomotiv Moscow
Draw
Krasnodar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Lokomotiv Moscow
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Krasnodar
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lokomotiv Moscow
1–4–1
Krasnodar
(6 last)
- Lokomotiv Moscow1-1Krasnodar
- Krasnodar1-2Lokomotiv Moscow
- Krasnodar0-0Lokomotiv Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow0-3Krasnodar
- Lokomotiv Moscow1-1Krasnodar
- Krasnodar1-1Lokomotiv Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krasnodar (rating 1482 vs 1551).
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.1 | – / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv Moscow 1–4–1 Krasnodar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/25 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Krasnodar |
| 26/07/25 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 08/12/24 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 01/09/24 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Krasnodar |
| 31/03/24 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Krasnodar |
| 19/08/23 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Zenit St Petersburg | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 7 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | FC Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 9 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 12 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 12 | Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 11 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 8 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lokomotiv Moscow | Krasnodar |
|---|---|---|
| Fakel Voronezh | 5-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Krylia Sovetov | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Zenit St Petersburg | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| FC Orenburg | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Akron Tolyatti | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Akhmat Grozny | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Krasnodar (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lokomotiv Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/09 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 12/09 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Krasnodar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 17/09 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 13/09 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 05/09 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krasnodar?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Krasnodar win (37%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Moscow 33%, draw 30%, Krasnodar 37%.
How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krasnodar?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Lokomotiv Moscow 1.15 · Krasnodar 1.25), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krasnodar?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.