Football · Russia Premier League · 24/10, 18:30
Prediction: Krasnodar vs Baltika Kaliningrad
Team pages: Krasnodar · Baltika Kaliningrad
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Krasnodar1.56
Baltika Kaliningrad0.93
1X2
Krasnodar
Draw
Baltika Kaliningrad
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Krasnodar
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Baltika Kaliningrad
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Krasnodar
1–3–0
Baltika Kaliningrad
(4 last)
- Krasnodar2-2Baltika Kaliningrad
- Baltika Kaliningrad1-1Krasnodar
- Krasnodar3-2Baltika Kaliningrad
- Baltika Kaliningrad2-2Krasnodar
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krasnodar (rating 1541 vs 1501).
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Krasnodar | Baltika Kaliningrad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.2 | – / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Krasnodar 1–3–0 Baltika Kaliningrad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 09/11/25 Russia Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Krasnodar |
| 24/04/24 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 21/10/23 Russia Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Krasnodar |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 24 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | Krasnodar | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 13 |
| 7 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 11 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 11 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 9 |
| 15 | Fakel Voronezh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 6 |
| 16 | Rodina Moscow | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Krasnodar | Baltika Kaliningrad |
|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| Zenit St Petersburg | 2-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Krylia Sovetov | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| FC Akhmat Grozny | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Spartak Moscow | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Fakel Voronezh | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Krasnodar (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Krasnodar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 17/09 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 13/09 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 05/09 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
Baltika Kaliningrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 16/09 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 24/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 16/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Krasnodar vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Krasnodar win (51%). Probabilities: Krasnodar 51%, draw 28%, Baltika Kaliningrad 21%.
How many goals are expected in Krasnodar vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Krasnodar 1.56 · Baltika Kaliningrad 0.93), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Krasnodar vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.