Football · Russia Premier League · 25/10, 16:30
Prediction: Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala
Team pages: Zenit St Petersburg · Dynamo Makhachkala
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Zenit St Petersburg2.19
Dynamo Makhachkala0.68
1X2
Zenit St Petersburg
Draw
Dynamo Makhachkala
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Zenit St Petersburg
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Dynamo Makhachkala
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zenit St Petersburg
5–1–0
Dynamo Makhachkala
(6 last)
- Dynamo Makhachkala1-2Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg3-0Dynamo Makhachkala
- Zenit St Petersburg1-1Dynamo Makhachkala
- Zenit St Petersburg2-0Dynamo Makhachkala
- Dynamo Makhachkala0-1Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg1-0Dynamo Makhachkala
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zenit St Petersburg (rating 1591 vs 1420).
- H2H favours Zenit St Petersburg: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zenit St Petersburg | Dynamo Makhachkala | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.7 | – / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zenit St Petersburg 5–1–0 Dynamo Makhachkala
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/26 Russia Cup | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 02/09/26 Russia Cup | Zenit St Petersburg | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Dynamo Makhachkala |
| 13/07/26 Club Friendly List | Zenit St Petersburg | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Dynamo Makhachkala |
| 01/07/26 Club Friendly List | Zenit St Petersburg | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dynamo Makhachkala |
| 19/04/26 Russia Premier League | Dynamo Makhachkala | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 18/03/26 Russia Cup | Zenit St Petersburg | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Dynamo Makhachkala |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 24 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 5 | Krasnodar | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 13 |
| 8 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Rostov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 12 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 11 | Krylia Sovetov | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 11 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 9 |
| 15 | Fakel Voronezh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 6 |
| 16 | Rodina Moscow | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zenit St Petersburg | Dynamo Makhachkala |
|---|---|---|
| FC Akhmat Grozny | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Krasnodar | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| CSKA Moscow | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Dinamo Moscow | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Rodina Moscow | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| FC Orenburg | 3-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Zenit St Petersburg (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zenit St Petersburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 16/09 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 16/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Dynamo Makhachkala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/09 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 06/09 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zenit St Petersburg win (71%). Probabilities: Zenit St Petersburg 71%, draw 20%, Dynamo Makhachkala 9%.
How many goals are expected in Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Zenit St Petersburg 2.19 · Dynamo Makhachkala 0.68), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.