Football · Russia Premier League · 25/10, 14:00
Prediction: CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow
Team pages: CSKA Moscow · Spartak Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
CSKA Moscow1.32
Spartak Moscow1.37
1X2
CSKA Moscow
Draw
Spartak Moscow
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CSKA Moscow
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Spartak Moscow
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSKA Moscow
2–1–3
Spartak Moscow
(6 last)
- Spartak Moscow1-0CSKA Moscow
- Spartak Moscow1-0CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow3-2Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow1-2CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow0-2Spartak Moscow
- CSKA Moscow0-0Spartak Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartak Moscow (rating 1521 vs 1584).
- H2H favours Spartak Moscow: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSKA Moscow | Spartak Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.1 | – / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 5.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSKA Moscow 2–1–3 Spartak Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Russia Cup | Spartak Moscow | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CSKA Moscow |
| 22/11/25 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CSKA Moscow |
| 05/10/25 Russia Premier League | CSKA Moscow | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| 26/04/25 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 1-2 HT 0-1 | CSKA Moscow |
| 02/11/24 Russia Premier League | CSKA Moscow | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| 25/04/24 Russia Premier League | CSKA Moscow | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Spartak Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 24 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 5 | Krasnodar | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 13 |
| 8 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Rostov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 12 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 11 | Krylia Sovetov | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 11 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 9 |
| 15 | Fakel Voronezh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 6 |
| 16 | Rodina Moscow | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSKA Moscow | Spartak Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Moscow | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Rubin Kazan | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Zenit St Petersburg | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Fakel Voronezh | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Rostov | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Krylia Sovetov | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Spartak Moscow (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSKA Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/09 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 28/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Spartak Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/09 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 23/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartak Moscow win (37%). Probabilities: CSKA Moscow 35%, draw 28%, Spartak Moscow 37%.
How many goals are expected in CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow?
The model expects 2.69 goals (CSKA Moscow 1.32 · Spartak Moscow 1.37), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.