Football · Russia Premier League · 25/10, 11:45
Prediction: Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow
Team pages: Rostov · Lokomotiv Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Rostov1.36
Lokomotiv Moscow1.17
1X2
Rostov
Draw
Lokomotiv Moscow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Rostov
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Lokomotiv Moscow
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rostov
2–3–1
Lokomotiv Moscow
(6 last)
- Rostov1-0Lokomotiv Moscow
- Rostov1-1Lokomotiv Moscow
- Rostov1-3Lokomotiv Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow3-3Rostov
- Lokomotiv Moscow0-2Rostov
- Rostov1-1Lokomotiv Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Rostov: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rostov | Lokomotiv Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.5 | – / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rostov 2–3–1 Lokomotiv Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/26 Russia Cup | Rostov | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 24/01/26 Club Friendly List | Rostov | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 30/11/25 Russia Premier League | Rostov | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 23/08/25 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3-3 HT 2-0 | Rostov |
| 30/04/25 Russia Cup | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Rostov |
| 26/04/25 Russia Premier League | Rostov | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 24 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 5 | Krasnodar | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 13 |
| 8 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Rostov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 12 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 11 | Krylia Sovetov | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 11 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 9 |
| 15 | Fakel Voronezh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 6 |
| 16 | Rodina Moscow | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rostov | Lokomotiv Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Akron Tolyatti | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Dinamo Moscow | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Fakel Voronezh | 3-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Krasnodar | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| CSKA Moscow | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lokomotiv Moscow (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rostov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 09/10 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/09 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 31/07 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
Lokomotiv Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/09 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 12/09 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rostov win (40%). Probabilities: Rostov 40%, draw 29%, Lokomotiv Moscow 31%.
How many goals are expected in Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Rostov 1.36 · Lokomotiv Moscow 1.17), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.