Football · Russia Premier League · 02/11, 16:00
Prediction: Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg
Team pages: Krylia Sovetov · Zenit St Petersburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Krylia Sovetov1.23
Zenit St Petersburg1.56
1X2
Krylia Sovetov
Draw
Zenit St Petersburg
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Krylia Sovetov
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Zenit St Petersburg
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Krylia Sovetov
1–3–2
Zenit St Petersburg
(6 last)
- Krylia Sovetov0-0Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg2-1Krylia Sovetov
- Krylia Sovetov1-1Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg2-3Krylia Sovetov
- Krylia Sovetov0-4Zenit St Petersburg
- Krylia Sovetov1-1Zenit St Petersburg
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zenit St Petersburg (rating 1474 vs 1578).
- H2H favours Zenit St Petersburg: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Krylia Sovetov | Zenit St Petersburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.1 | – / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Krylia Sovetov 1–3–2 Zenit St Petersburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/26 Russia Cup | Krylia Sovetov | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 04/04/26 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Krylia Sovetov |
| 09/11/25 Russia Premier League | Krylia Sovetov | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 01/12/24 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Krylia Sovetov |
| 20/07/24 Russia Premier League | Krylia Sovetov | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 30/03/24 Russia Premier League | Krylia Sovetov | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Zenit St Petersburg |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Krasnodar | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Rostov | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 15 |
| 8 | Krylia Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 13 |
| 11 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 12 |
| 12 | Akron Tolyatti | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 21 | 12 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 11 |
| 14 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 11 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 9 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Krylia Sovetov | Zenit St Petersburg |
|---|---|---|
| Fakel Voronezh | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Spartak Moscow | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Rodina Moscow | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Krasnodar | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| FC Akhmat Grozny | 3-3 D | 3-2 W |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 3 L | 6 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Zenit St Petersburg (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Krylia Sovetov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 16/09 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 11/09 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
Zenit St Petersburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 16/09 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 16/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Zenit St Petersburg win (44%). Probabilities: Krylia Sovetov 29%, draw 27%, Zenit St Petersburg 44%.
How many goals are expected in Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Krylia Sovetov 1.23 · Zenit St Petersburg 1.56), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.