Football · Russia Premier League · 07/11, 17:30
Prediction: Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow
Team pages: Krasnodar · CSKA Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Krasnodar1.56
CSKA Moscow1.48
1X2
Krasnodar
Draw
CSKA Moscow
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Krasnodar
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
CSKA Moscow
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Krasnodar
2–2–2
CSKA Moscow
(6 last)
- Krasnodar4-0CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow3-1Krasnodar
- CSKA Moscow2-2Krasnodar
- Krasnodar3-2CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow1-1Krasnodar
- Krasnodar0-1CSKA Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSKA Moscow (rating 1518 vs 1561).
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Krasnodar | CSKA Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.7 | – / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.1 | 5.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Krasnodar 2–2–2 CSKA Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 Russia Cup | Krasnodar | 4-0 HT 1-0 | CSKA Moscow |
| 04/03/26 Russia Cup | CSKA Moscow | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Krasnodar |
| 03/02/26 Club Friendly List | CSKA Moscow | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Krasnodar |
| 07/12/25 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 3-2 HT 1-1 | CSKA Moscow |
| 31/08/25 Russia Premier League | CSKA Moscow | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Krasnodar |
| 12/07/25 Russia Super Cup | Krasnodar | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CSKA Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Krasnodar | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 23 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Krylia Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| 8 | Rostov | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 15 |
| 10 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 13 |
| 12 | Rodina Moscow | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 12 |
| 13 | Akron Tolyatti | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 21 | 12 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Krasnodar | CSKA Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moscow | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 3-3 D | 3-2 W |
| Zenit St Petersburg | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Akron Tolyatti | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Rostov | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CSKA Moscow (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Krasnodar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 24/10 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 17/09 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 13/09 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 05/09 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
CSKA Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/09 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 28/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Krasnodar win (39%). Probabilities: Krasnodar 39%, draw 26%, CSKA Moscow 35%.
How many goals are expected in Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Krasnodar 1.56 · CSKA Moscow 1.48), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.