Football · Russia Premier League · 08/11, 18:45
Prediction: Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala
Team pages: Baltika Kaliningrad · Dynamo Makhachkala
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Baltika Kaliningrad1.72
Dynamo Makhachkala0.75
1X2
Baltika Kaliningrad
Draw
Dynamo Makhachkala
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Baltika Kaliningrad
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Dynamo Makhachkala
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Baltika Kaliningrad
1–4–0
Dynamo Makhachkala
(5 last)
- Baltika Kaliningrad1-1Dynamo Makhachkala
- Dynamo Makhachkala2-2Baltika Kaliningrad
- Baltika Kaliningrad2-0Dynamo Makhachkala
- Dynamo Makhachkala0-0Baltika Kaliningrad
- Baltika Kaliningrad1-1Dynamo Makhachkala
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Baltika Kaliningrad (rating 1496 vs 1405).
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Baltika Kaliningrad | Dynamo Makhachkala | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.6 | – / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 5.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Baltika Kaliningrad 1–4–0 Dynamo Makhachkala
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/26 Russia Cup | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Dynamo Makhachkala |
| 05/04/26 Russia Premier League | Dynamo Makhachkala | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 05/10/25 Russia Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dynamo Makhachkala |
| 02/04/23 Russia Division 1 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 12/09/22 Russia Division 1 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Dynamo Makhachkala |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 10 | 26 |
| 6 | Rostov | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 18 |
| 8 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Orenburg | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 15 |
| 11 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 14 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodina Moscow | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 12 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 12 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Baltika Kaliningrad | Dynamo Makhachkala |
|---|---|---|
| Akron Tolyatti | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Krasnodar | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Rostov | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| FC Akhmat Grozny | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Zenit St Petersburg | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Rodina Moscow | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Rubin Kazan | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Baltika Kaliningrad (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Baltika Kaliningrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/10 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 18/10 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 11/10 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 16/09 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 24/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 16/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Dynamo Makhachkala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 25/10 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 17/10 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/09 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 06/09 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Baltika Kaliningrad win (60%). Probabilities: Baltika Kaliningrad 60%, draw 26%, Dynamo Makhachkala 15%.
How many goals are expected in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Baltika Kaliningrad 1.72 · Dynamo Makhachkala 0.75), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.