Football · Russia Premier League · 08/11, 14:15
Prediction: Spartak Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti
Team pages: Spartak Moscow · Akron Tolyatti
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.59Total
Spartak Moscow2.37
Akron Tolyatti1.23
1X2
Spartak Moscow
Draw
Akron Tolyatti
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Spartak Moscow
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Akron Tolyatti
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spartak Moscow
4–2–0
Akron Tolyatti
(6 last)
- Spartak Moscow4-3Akron Tolyatti
- Akron Tolyatti1-1Spartak Moscow
- Akron Tolyatti2-3Spartak Moscow
- Akron Tolyatti2-3Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow4-0Akron Tolyatti
- Spartak Moscow1-1Akron Tolyatti
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartak Moscow (rating 1585 vs 1469).
- H2H favours Spartak Moscow: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spartak Moscow | Akron Tolyatti | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.9 | – / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartak Moscow 4–2–0 Akron Tolyatti
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 4-3 HT 3-1 | Akron Tolyatti |
| 03/08/25 Russia Premier League | Akron Tolyatti | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| 19/04/25 Russia Premier League | Akron Tolyatti | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| 12/03/25 Russia Cup | Akron Tolyatti | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Spartak Moscow |
| 10/11/24 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Akron Tolyatti |
| 08/07/23 Club Friendly List | Spartak Moscow | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Akron Tolyatti |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 30 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 28 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 10 | 26 |
| 5 | Krasnodar | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | Rostov | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 7 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Orenburg | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | Krylia Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 15 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 15 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 13 |
| 12 | Rodina Moscow | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 12 |
| 13 | Akron Tolyatti | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 12 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spartak Moscow | Akron Tolyatti |
|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Krylia Sovetov | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Rostov | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Dinamo Moscow | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| FC Orenburg | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Spartak Moscow (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spartak Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/09 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 23/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
Akron Tolyatti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 24/10 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 09/10 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/09 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 13/09 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 06/09 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 15/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spartak Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartak Moscow win (62%). Probabilities: Spartak Moscow 62%, draw 20%, Akron Tolyatti 18%.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti?
The model expects 3.59 goals (Spartak Moscow 2.37 · Akron Tolyatti 1.23), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Spartak Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.