Football · Russia Premier League · 08/11, 16:30
Prediction: Zenit St Petersburg vs Rostov
Team pages: Zenit St Petersburg · Rostov
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Zenit St Petersburg2.09
Rostov0.91
1X2
Zenit St Petersburg
Draw
Rostov
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Zenit St Petersburg
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Rostov
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zenit St Petersburg
6–0
Rostov
(6 last)
- Rostov0-1Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg2-1Rostov
- Rostov0-1Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg2-0Rostov
- Rostov0-1Zenit St Petersburg
- Rostov1-2Zenit St Petersburg
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zenit St Petersburg (rating 1612 vs 1489).
- H2H favours Zenit St Petersburg: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zenit St Petersburg | Rostov | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.7 | – / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zenit St Petersburg 6–0–0 Rostov
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Russia Premier League | Rostov | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 20/07/25 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Rostov |
| 18/05/25 Russia Premier League | Rostov | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 16/04/25 Russia Cup | Zenit St Petersburg | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Rostov |
| 12/03/25 Russia Cup | Rostov | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 07/02/25 Club Friendly List | Rostov | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Zenit St Petersburg |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 10 | 26 |
| 5 | Krasnodar | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | Rostov | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 18 |
| 8 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Orenburg | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 15 |
| 11 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 14 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodina Moscow | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 12 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 12 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zenit St Petersburg | Rostov |
|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Akhmat Grozny | 3-2 W | 1-4 L |
| Krasnodar | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Fakel Voronezh | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Spartak Moscow | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Dinamo Moscow | 3-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Zenit St Petersburg (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zenit St Petersburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 25/10 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 16/09 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 16/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Rostov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 25/10 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 09/10 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/09 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zenit St Petersburg vs Rostov?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zenit St Petersburg win (64%). Probabilities: Zenit St Petersburg 64%, draw 22%, Rostov 14%.
How many goals are expected in Zenit St Petersburg vs Rostov?
The model expects 3 goals (Zenit St Petersburg 2.09 · Rostov 0.91), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Zenit St Petersburg vs Rostov?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.