Football · Russia Premier League · 08/11, 12:00
Prediction: Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg
Team pages: Krylia Sovetov · FC Orenburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Krylia Sovetov1.19
FC Orenburg1.19
1X2
Krylia Sovetov
Draw
FC Orenburg
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Krylia Sovetov
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
FC Orenburg
2-7-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Krylia Sovetov
2–2–2
FC Orenburg
(6 last)
- FC Orenburg1-0Krylia Sovetov
- Krylia Sovetov2-0FC Orenburg
- Krylia Sovetov1-1FC Orenburg
- Krylia Sovetov2-0FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg2-2Krylia Sovetov
- FC Orenburg2-1Krylia Sovetov
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Orenburg (rating 1487 vs 1541).
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Krylia Sovetov | FC Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.1 | – / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 6.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Krylia Sovetov 2–2–2 FC Orenburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Krylia Sovetov |
| 04/03/26 Russia Cup | Krylia Sovetov | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 18/10/25 Russia Premier League | Krylia Sovetov | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Orenburg |
| 27/04/25 Russia Premier League | Krylia Sovetov | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 20/10/24 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Krylia Sovetov |
| 04/05/24 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Krylia Sovetov |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 10 | 26 |
| 5 | Krasnodar | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | Rostov | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 7 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Orenburg | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | Krylia Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 15 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 13 |
| 12 | Rodina Moscow | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 12 |
| 13 | Akron Tolyatti | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 12 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Krylia Sovetov | FC Orenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Fakel Voronezh | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Spartak Moscow | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Rodina Moscow | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Krasnodar | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| FC Akhmat Grozny | 3-3 D | 1-0 W |
| Akron Tolyatti | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-4 L | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 2 L | 2 W 6 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Orenburg (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Krylia Sovetov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 16/09 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 11/09 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
FC Orenburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 12 | D |
| 23/10 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/10 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 14 | D |
| 10/10 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/09 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 12/09 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 22/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Krylia Sovetov win (35%). Probabilities: Krylia Sovetov 35%, draw 30%, FC Orenburg 35%.
How many goals are expected in Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Krylia Sovetov 1.19 · FC Orenburg 1.19), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.