Football · Russia Premier League · 01/11, 11:00
Prediction: FC Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow
Team pages: FC Orenburg · CSKA Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
FC Orenburg1.36
CSKA Moscow1.22
1X2
FC Orenburg
Draw
CSKA Moscow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Orenburg
2-7-1 (W-D-L)
CSKA Moscow
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Orenburg
0–2–4
CSKA Moscow
(6 last)
- CSKA Moscow2-0FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg0-0CSKA Moscow
- FC Orenburg0-2CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow5-1FC Orenburg
- CSKA Moscow1-1FC Orenburg
- CSKA Moscow3-1FC Orenburg
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CSKA Moscow: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Orenburg | CSKA Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.2 | – / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0 | 5.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Orenburg 0–2–4 CSKA Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 Russia Premier League | CSKA Moscow | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 21/07/25 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CSKA Moscow |
| 12/04/25 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 0-2 HT 0-0 | CSKA Moscow |
| 04/08/24 Russia Premier League | CSKA Moscow | 5-1 HT 3-1 | FC Orenburg |
| 02/03/24 Russia Premier League | CSKA Moscow | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 02/11/23 Russia Cup | CSKA Moscow | 3-1 HT 2-1 | FC Orenburg |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Krasnodar | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Rostov | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 15 |
| 8 | Krylia Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 13 |
| 11 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 12 |
| 12 | Akron Tolyatti | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 21 | 12 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 11 |
| 14 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 11 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 9 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Orenburg | CSKA Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moscow | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Dinamo Moscow | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Akron Tolyatti | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Spartak Moscow | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Fakel Voronezh | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Rubin Kazan | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 6 D 1 L | 5 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CSKA Moscow (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Orenburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/10 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 14 | D |
| 10/10 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/09 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 12/09 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 22/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
CSKA Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/09 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 28/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Orenburg win (39%). Probabilities: FC Orenburg 39%, draw 29%, CSKA Moscow 32%.
How many goals are expected in FC Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow?
The model expects 2.58 goals (FC Orenburg 1.36 · CSKA Moscow 1.22), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.