Football · Russia Premier League · 31/10, 17:45
Prediction: Rodina Moscow vs Krasnodar
Team pages: Rodina Moscow · Krasnodar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Rodina Moscow1.45
Krasnodar1.62
1X2
Rodina Moscow
Draw
Krasnodar
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Rodina Moscow
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Krasnodar
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rodina Moscow
0–1
Krasnodar
(1 last)
- Krasnodar3-0Rodina Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krasnodar (rating 1440 vs 1520).
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rodina Moscow | Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.8 | – / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.1 | 5.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rodina Moscow 0–0–1 Krasnodar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/24 Club Friendly List | Krasnodar | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Rodina Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Krasnodar | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Rostov | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 15 |
| 8 | Krylia Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 13 |
| 11 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 12 |
| 12 | Akron Tolyatti | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 21 | 12 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 11 |
| 14 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 11 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 9 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rodina Moscow | Krasnodar |
|---|---|---|
| FC Orenburg | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Krylia Sovetov | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Akron Tolyatti | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Zenit St Petersburg | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Krasnodar (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodina Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 19/10 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 14 | D |
| 11/10 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/09 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 11/09 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 23/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Krasnodar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 17/09 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 13/09 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 05/09 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodina Moscow vs Krasnodar?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Krasnodar win (41%). Probabilities: Rodina Moscow 33%, draw 26%, Krasnodar 41%.
How many goals are expected in Rodina Moscow vs Krasnodar?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Rodina Moscow 1.45 · Krasnodar 1.62), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Rodina Moscow vs Krasnodar?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.