Football · Russia Premier League · 07/11, 12:00
Prediction: Fakel Voronezh vs Dinamo Moscow
Team pages: Fakel Voronezh · Dinamo Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Fakel Voronezh0.84
Dinamo Moscow1.48
1X2
Fakel Voronezh
Draw
Dinamo Moscow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Fakel Voronezh
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Dinamo Moscow
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fakel Voronezh
1–3–2
Dinamo Moscow
(6 last)
- Fakel Voronezh0-1Dinamo Moscow
- Fakel Voronezh1-1Dinamo Moscow
- Dinamo Moscow3-1Fakel Voronezh
- Fakel Voronezh1-1Dinamo Moscow
- Dinamo Moscow0-0Fakel Voronezh
- Dinamo Moscow0-2Fakel Voronezh
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Moscow (rating 1439 vs 1590).
- H2H favours Dinamo Moscow: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fakel Voronezh | Dinamo Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.8 | – / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fakel Voronezh 1–3–2 Dinamo Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/26 Russia Cup | Fakel Voronezh | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 24/11/24 Russia Premier League | Fakel Voronezh | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 20/07/24 Russia Premier League | Dinamo Moscow | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Fakel Voronezh |
| 10/12/23 Russia Premier League | Fakel Voronezh | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 08/10/23 Russia Premier League | Dinamo Moscow | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fakel Voronezh |
| 28/04/23 Russia Premier League | Dinamo Moscow | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Fakel Voronezh |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Krasnodar | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 23 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Krylia Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| 8 | Rostov | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 15 |
| 10 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 13 |
| 12 | Rodina Moscow | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 12 |
| 13 | Akron Tolyatti | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 21 | 12 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fakel Voronezh | Dinamo Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Rubin Kazan | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Rodina Moscow | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 0-5 L | 1-0 W |
| Spartak Moscow | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Rostov | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Zenit St Petersburg | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| FC Orenburg | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| CSKA Moscow | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 7 L | 7 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Dinamo Moscow (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fakel Voronezh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 24/10 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 17/10 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 16/09 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
Dinamo Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/10 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/09 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fakel Voronezh vs Dinamo Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dinamo Moscow win (51%). Probabilities: Fakel Voronezh 20%, draw 29%, Dinamo Moscow 51%.
How many goals are expected in Fakel Voronezh vs Dinamo Moscow?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Fakel Voronezh 0.84 · Dinamo Moscow 1.48), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fakel Voronezh vs Dinamo Moscow?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.