Football · England Championship · 13/10, 20:45
Prediction: Bristol City vs Blackburn
Team pages: Bristol City · Blackburn
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Bristol City1.57
Blackburn1.09
1X2
Bristol City
Draw
Blackburn
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Bristol City
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Blackburn
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bristol City
3–3
Blackburn
(6 last)
- Blackburn1-2Bristol City
- Bristol City0-1Blackburn
- Bristol City2-1Blackburn
- Blackburn3-0Bristol City
- Bristol City5-0Blackburn
- Blackburn2-1Bristol City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bristol City 1528 · Blackburn 1472
| Bristol City | Draw | Blackburn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bristol City (rating 1528 vs 1472).
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bristol City | Blackburn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.9 | 2.7 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bristol City 3–0–3 Blackburn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/26 England Championship | Blackburn | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Bristol City |
| 04/11/25 England Championship | Bristol City | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Blackburn |
| 25/01/25 England Championship | Bristol City | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Blackburn |
| 14/09/24 England Championship | Blackburn | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Bristol City |
| 10/04/24 England Championship | Bristol City | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Blackburn |
| 12/12/23 England Championship | Blackburn | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Bristol City |
Standings · England Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 | Stoke | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
| 5 | Wolverhampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
| 8 | Millwall | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 9 | West Brom | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| 11 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Charlton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 13 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 14 | Sheff Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 16 | Lincoln City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 11 |
| 17 | Bolton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 10 |
| 18 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
| 22 | Burnley | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 7 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bristol City | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln City | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Preston | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Portsmouth | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Millwall | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bristol City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Charlton England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/09 | Watford England Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 15/09 | Lincoln City England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Southampton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Burnley England Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 01/09 | Preston England Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Portsmouth England Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Birmingham England Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Millwall England Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Stoke England Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Blackburn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Cardiff England Championship |
2-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Portsmouth England Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Millwall England Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 08/09 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Preston England Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | Lincoln City England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | QPR England Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Wolverhampton England Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Leicester England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bristol City vs Blackburn?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bristol City win (47%). Probabilities: Bristol City 47%, draw 28%, Blackburn 25%.
How many goals are expected in Bristol City vs Blackburn?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Bristol City 1.57 · Blackburn 1.09), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Blackburn?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.