Football · England Championship · 13/10, 20:45

Prediction: Wrexham vs West Brom

Team pages: Wrexham · West Brom

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Wrexham1.39

West Brom1.13

1X2

42% 29% 29%

Wrexham Draw West Brom

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Wrexham 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDDLWDDLWD

West Brom 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLDWWDLL

Head-to-head

Wrexham 0–1–1 West Brom (2 last)

West Brom2-2Wrexham
Wrexham2-3West Brom

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wrexham 1499 · West Brom 1489

	Wrexham	Draw	West Brom
Our model	42%	29%	29%
Market	42%	29%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wrexham	West Brom
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.2	1.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.25

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.05

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.28
X	3.20 → 3.25▲	Pinn 3.47 ★
2	3.00 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.5% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
21:49 +8’	2.20	3.20	3.00
13:01 +3’	2.25▲	3.25▲	3.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:16 +102’	2.28	3.47	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wrexham 0–1–1 West Brom

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 England Championship	West Brom	2-2 HT 2-0	Wrexham
16/08/25 England Championship	Wrexham	2-3 HT 1-1	West Brom

Standings · England Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Swansea	9	6	2	1	15	7	20
2	Middlesbrough	9	5	3	1	17	12	18
3	West Ham	9	4	4	1	23	12	16
4	Stoke	9	5	1	3	15	13	16
5	Wolverhampton	8	4	2	2	15	11	14
6	QPR	9	3	5	1	11	8	14
7	Birmingham	9	3	5	1	13	11	14
8	Millwall	9	4	2	3	16	15	14
9	West Brom	9	4	2	3	10	9	14
10	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	12	13	14
11	Charlton	9	3	4	2	8	11	13
12	Blackburn	9	3	3	3	14	13	12
13	Sheff Utd	9	3	3	3	12	11	12
14	Wrexham	9	2	5	2	10	13	11
15	Lincoln City	9	3	2	4	7	11	11
16	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19	10	10
17	Bolton	9	3	1	5	12	17	10
18	Norwich	9	3	0	6	17	19	9
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9	10	8
20	Watford	9	2	2	5	7	14	8
21	Cardiff	9	1	4	4	11	14	7
22	Burnley	9	1	4	4	13	17	7
23	Derby	9	1	3	5	8	15	6
24	Preston	9	1	1	7	8	16	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wrexham	West Brom
Derby	1-1 D	1-0 W
Burnley	1-1 D	3-1 W
Birmingham	1-2 L	0-1 L
Watford	1-1 D	1-0 W
Middlesbrough	2-2 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: West Brom (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wrexham

DDDLWDDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Derby England Championship	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
19/09	Southampton England Championship	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
11/09	West Ham England Championship	0-2	0-6	6	1	L
08/09	Burnley England Championship	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
05/09	Swansea England Championship	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
02/09	Millwall England Championship	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
28/08	Birmingham England Championship	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
22/08	Watford England Championship	1-1	1-1	10	2	D
17/08	Cardiff England Championship	1-0	1-1	9	3	D
02/05	Middlesbrough England Championship	2-2	2-2	6	0	D

West Brom

LWWLDWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Birmingham England Championship	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
20/09	Wolverhampton England Championship	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
12/09	QPR England Championship	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
09/09	Derby England Championship	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
05/09	Watford England Championship	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
02/09	Charlton England Championship	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
29/08	Middlesbrough England Championship	0-0	1-3	6	1	L
23/08	Burnley England Championship	1-1	3-1	3	3	W
15/08	Norwich England Championship	0-0	2-1	2	2	W
02/05	Sheff Wed England Championship	0-2	1-2	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wrexham vs West Brom?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wrexham win (42%). Probabilities: Wrexham 42%, draw 29%, West Brom 29%.

How many goals are expected in Wrexham vs West Brom?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Wrexham 1.39 · West Brom 1.13), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Wrexham vs West Brom?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.