Prediction: Cheltenham vs Chesterfield
Team pages: Cheltenham · Chesterfield
- Chesterfield1-0Cheltenham
- Cheltenham0-2Chesterfield
- Cheltenham1-0Chesterfield
- Chesterfield1-1Cheltenham
- Cheltenham1-1Chesterfield
- Chesterfield0-2Cheltenham
| Cheltenham | Draw | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 27% | 43% |
| Market | 30% | 26% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cheltenham | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.2 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.3 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cheltenham 2–2–2 Chesterfield
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 England League 2 | Chesterfield | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cheltenham |
| 09/08/25 England League 2 | Cheltenham | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Chesterfield |
| 01/02/25 England League 2 | Cheltenham | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chesterfield |
| 21/09/24 England League 2 | Chesterfield | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Cheltenham |
| 17/03/18 England League 2 | Cheltenham | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chesterfield |
| 30/09/17 England League 2 | Chesterfield | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Cheltenham |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 7 | York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington Stanley | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cheltenham | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| York | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Barnet | 2-2 D | 3-3 D |
| Swindon | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Rotherham | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Chesterfield (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cheltenham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Colchester England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 12/09 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Grimsby England League 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/09 | York England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | Barnet England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Rotherham England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Colchester England League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 21/04 | Tranmere England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
Chesterfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | York England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Oldham England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Barnet England League 2 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 01/09 | Gillingham England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Rotherham England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Salford City England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cheltenham vs Chesterfield?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chesterfield win (43%). Probabilities: Cheltenham 30%, draw 26%, Chesterfield 43%.
How many goals are expected in Cheltenham vs Chesterfield?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Cheltenham 1.29 · Chesterfield 1.58), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cheltenham vs Chesterfield?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.