Prediction: Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham
Team pages: Accrington Stanley · Cheltenham
- Accrington Stanley3-1Cheltenham
- Cheltenham1-0Accrington Stanley
- Accrington Stanley0-0Cheltenham
- Cheltenham2-1Accrington Stanley
- Cheltenham0-0Accrington Stanley
- Accrington Stanley1-0Cheltenham
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Cheltenham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 24% | 34% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Accrington Stanley | Cheltenham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2 | 1.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.7 | 2.9 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Accrington Stanley 2–2–2 Cheltenham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 England League 2 | Accrington Stanley | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Cheltenham |
| 06/09/25 England League 2 | Cheltenham | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Accrington Stanley |
| 28/01/25 England League 2 | Accrington Stanley | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cheltenham |
| 01/10/24 England League 2 | Cheltenham | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Accrington Stanley |
| 11/02/23 England League 1 | Cheltenham | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Accrington Stanley |
| 17/09/22 England League 1 | Accrington Stanley | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cheltenham |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 7 | York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington Stanley | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Accrington Stanley | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Barnet | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Crawley Town | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Grimsby | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Colchester | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cheltenham (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Accrington Stanley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 19/09 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Barnet England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 01/09 | Grimsby England League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Walsall England League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Colchester England League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Oldham England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
Cheltenham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Colchester England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 12/09 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Grimsby England League 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/09 | York England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | Barnet England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Rotherham England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Colchester England League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Accrington Stanley win (41%). Probabilities: Accrington Stanley 41%, draw 26%, Cheltenham 33%.
How many goals are expected in Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Accrington Stanley 1.84 · Cheltenham 1.62), with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.