Prediction: Gillingham vs Newport County
Team pages: Gillingham · Newport County
- Gillingham3-2Newport County
- Newport County1-1Gillingham
- Newport County1-3Gillingham
- Newport County3-1Gillingham
- Gillingham0-2Newport County
- Newport County1-0Gillingham
| Gillingham | Draw | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Newport County: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gillingham | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.3 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gillingham 2–1–3 Newport County
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 England League 2 | Gillingham | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Newport County |
| 01/11/25 England FA Cup | Newport County | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Gillingham |
| 20/09/25 England League 2 | Newport County | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Gillingham |
| 04/03/25 England League 2 | Newport County | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Gillingham |
| 22/10/24 England League 2 | Gillingham | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Newport County |
| 17/02/24 England League 2 | Newport County | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gillingham |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 7 | York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington Stanley | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gillingham | Newport County |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | 3-0 W | 3-5 L |
| Tranmere | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Rochdale | 4-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Northampton | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Fleetwood Town | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Gillingham (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gillingham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | York England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Rochdale England League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/09 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Northampton England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Walsall England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Barnet England League 2 |
1-5 | 2-6 | 3 | 4 | L |
Newport County
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Northampton England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 01/09 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Tranmere England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Rochdale England League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Barrow England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Oldham England League 2 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gillingham vs Newport County?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gillingham win (48%). Probabilities: Gillingham 48%, draw 27%, Newport County 25%.
How many goals are expected in Gillingham vs Newport County?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Gillingham 1.69 · Newport County 1.18), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Gillingham vs Newport County?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.