Football · England League 2 · 03/10, 13:30

Prediction: Chesterfield vs Tranmere

Team pages: Chesterfield · Tranmere

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Chesterfield1.59
Tranmere0.91
1X2
53% 27% 21%
Chesterfield Draw Tranmere
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Chesterfield 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDLWLDDWWL
Tranmere 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
LDWDDDWLDD
Head-to-head
Chesterfield 1–2–1 Tranmere (4 last)
  • Chesterfield1-1Tranmere
  • Tranmere1-1Chesterfield
  • Tranmere4-0Chesterfield
  • Chesterfield3-0Tranmere
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chesterfield 1509 · Tranmere 1505
ChesterfieldDrawTranmere
Our model52%28%20%
Market53%26%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ChesterfieldTranmere
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.11.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 5.12.1 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 04 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chesterfield 1–2–1 Tranmere

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
England League 2
Chesterfield1-1
HT 1-0
Tranmere
25/10/25
England League 2
Tranmere1-1
HT 0-1
Chesterfield
05/04/25
England League 2
Tranmere4-0
HT 0-0
Chesterfield
07/12/24
England League 2
Chesterfield3-0
HT 2-0
Tranmere

Standings · England League 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Barnet 7430 171015
2 Walsall 7340 10413
3 Grimsby 7340 11613
4 Gillingham 7331 11612
5 Cheltenham 7331 141112
6 Bristol Rovers 7403 121112
7 York 7322 131011
8 Chesterfield 7322 10811
9 Crewe 7250 7511
10 Tranmere 7241 9710
11 Fleetwood Town 7241 8710
12 Salford City 7313 8910
13 Swindon 7313 81110
14 Rotherham 7232 10109
15 Colchester 7232 8109
16 Oldham 7214 897
17 Rochdale 7214 7107
18 Shrewsbury 7214 5117
19 Newport County 7133 10116
20 Exeter 7133 456
21 Accrington Stanley 7133 10136
22 Northampton 7133 366
23 Port Vale 7124 395
24 Crawley Town 7115 6134

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChesterfieldTranmere
Oldham 2-1 W 2-0 W
Gillingham 1-1 D 0-2 L
Rotherham 1-2 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tranmere (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chesterfield

LDLWLDDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Cheltenham
England League 2
0-2 1-2 114 L
19/09 York
England League 2
0-0 2-0 73 W
12/09 Oldham
England League 2
1-0 2-1 45 W
05/09 Barnet
England League 2
1-2 3-3 47 D
01/09 Gillingham
England League 2
1-0 1-1 83 D
29/08 Rotherham
England League 2
0-1 1-2 03 L
22/08 Salford City
England League 2
1-0 1-0 15 W
15/08 Fleetwood Town
England League 2
0-1 0-1 54 L
15/05 Notts County
England League 2
0-0 0-0 82 D
10/05 Notts County
England League 2
0-1 0-1 35 L

Tranmere

LDWDDDWLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Walsall
England League 2
0-0 1-1 63 D
19/09 Exeter
England League 2
0-0 0-0 25 D
12/09 Gillingham
England League 2
0-0 0-2 55 L
05/09 Oldham
England League 2
1-0 2-0 25 W
01/09 Rotherham
England League 2
1-0 2-2 26 D
29/08 Newport County
England League 2
0-1 2-2 64 D
22/08 Port Vale
England League 2
0-1 1-1 35 D
15/08 Shrewsbury
England League 2
1-0 2-0 35 W
02/05 Grimsby
England League 2
0-1 1-1 41 D
25/04 Milton Keynes Dons
England League 2
0-2 0-3 22 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chesterfield vs Tranmere?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chesterfield win (53%). Probabilities: Chesterfield 53%, draw 27%, Tranmere 21%.

How many goals are expected in Chesterfield vs Tranmere?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Chesterfield 1.59 · Tranmere 0.91), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Chesterfield vs Tranmere?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.