Prediction: Chesterfield vs Tranmere
Team pages: Chesterfield · Tranmere
- Chesterfield1-1Tranmere
- Tranmere1-1Chesterfield
- Tranmere4-0Chesterfield
- Chesterfield3-0Tranmere
| Chesterfield | Draw | Tranmere | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 28% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chesterfield | Tranmere | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.1 | 2.1 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chesterfield 1–2–1 Tranmere
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 England League 2 | Chesterfield | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tranmere |
| 25/10/25 England League 2 | Tranmere | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Chesterfield |
| 05/04/25 England League 2 | Tranmere | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Chesterfield |
| 07/12/24 England League 2 | Chesterfield | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Tranmere |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 7 | York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington Stanley | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chesterfield | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|
| Oldham | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Gillingham | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Rotherham | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tranmere (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chesterfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | York England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Oldham England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Barnet England League 2 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 01/09 | Gillingham England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Rotherham England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Salford City England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
Tranmere
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Walsall England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Oldham England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 01/09 | Rotherham England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chesterfield vs Tranmere?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chesterfield win (53%). Probabilities: Chesterfield 53%, draw 27%, Tranmere 21%.
How many goals are expected in Chesterfield vs Tranmere?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Chesterfield 1.59 · Tranmere 0.91), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chesterfield vs Tranmere?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

