Prediction: Grimsby vs Shrewsbury
Team pages: Grimsby · Shrewsbury
- Grimsby1-0Shrewsbury
- Shrewsbury1-1Grimsby
- Grimsby3-1Shrewsbury
- Shrewsbury1-0Grimsby
- Grimsby0-0Shrewsbury
| Grimsby | Draw | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 57% | 25% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grimsby (rating 1506 vs 1437).
- H2H favours Grimsby: 2-2-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grimsby | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.2 | 2.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grimsby 2–2–1 Shrewsbury
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/25 England League 2 | Grimsby | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Shrewsbury |
| 09/12/25 England League 2 | Shrewsbury | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Grimsby |
| 12/08/25 England EFL Cup | Grimsby | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Shrewsbury |
| 15/12/15 England FA Cup | Shrewsbury | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Grimsby |
| 07/12/15 England FA Cup | Grimsby | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shrewsbury |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 7 | York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington Stanley | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Grimsby | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Salford City | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Grimsby (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grimsby
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/09 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Walsall England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Exeter England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Salford City England League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Shrewsbury
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Colchester England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Crewe England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Northampton England League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 01/09 | Rochdale England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Barnet England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grimsby vs Shrewsbury?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Grimsby win (57%). Probabilities: Grimsby 57%, draw 25%, Shrewsbury 18%.
How many goals are expected in Grimsby vs Shrewsbury?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Grimsby 1.7 · Shrewsbury 0.85), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Grimsby vs Shrewsbury?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.