Football · England League 2 · 26/09, 18:30
Prediction: Oldham vs Salford City
Team pages: Oldham · Salford City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Oldham1.32
Salford City1.32
1X2
Oldham
Draw
Salford City
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Oldham
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Salford City
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oldham
2–4
Salford City
(6 last)
- Oldham1-2Salford City
- Salford City1-0Oldham
- Oldham1-2Salford City
- Salford City2-0Oldham
- Oldham1-0Salford City
- Oldham2-1Salford City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oldham 1449 · Salford City 1509
| Oldham | Draw | Salford City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 29% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 27% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salford City (rating 1449 vs 1509).
- H2H favours Salford City: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oldham | Salford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.4 | 2.4 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oldham 2–0–4 Salford City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 England League 2 | Oldham | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Salford City |
| 18/10/25 England League 2 | Salford City | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Oldham |
| 23/04/22 England League 2 | Oldham | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Salford City |
| 27/11/21 England League 2 | Salford City | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Oldham |
| 31/08/21 England EFL Trophy | Oldham | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Salford City |
| 30/01/21 England League 2 | Oldham | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Salford City |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 7 | York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington Stanley | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oldham | Salford City |
|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Swindon | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Port Vale | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Newport County | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Oldham (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oldham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Rochdale England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 12/09 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 01/09 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Colchester England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 15/08 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Newport County England League 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
Salford City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Rotherham England League 2 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/09 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Barnet England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Grimsby England League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oldham vs Salford City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oldham win (36%). Probabilities: Oldham 36%, draw 28%, Salford City 36%.
How many goals are expected in Oldham vs Salford City?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Oldham 1.32 · Salford City 1.32), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Oldham vs Salford City?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.