Football · England League 2 · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: Shrewsbury vs Colchester

Team pages: Shrewsbury · Colchester

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Shrewsbury1.08
Colchester1.07
1X2
35% 30% 35%
Shrewsbury Draw Colchester
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Shrewsbury 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DDLLLWLLWD
Colchester 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLWDWWLLDD
Head-to-head
Shrewsbury 2–1–2 Colchester (5 last)
  • Colchester2-0Shrewsbury
  • Shrewsbury0-2Colchester
  • Shrewsbury3-2Colchester
  • Colchester0-0Shrewsbury
  • Shrewsbury4-2Colchester
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shrewsbury 1452 · Colchester 1459
ShrewsburyDrawColchester
Our model34%32%34%
Market36%29%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ShrewsburyColchester
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.41.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.61.5 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 03.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shrewsbury 212 Colchester

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/02/26
England League 2
Colchester2-0
HT 2-0
Shrewsbury
16/08/25
England League 2
Shrewsbury0-2
HT 0-0
Colchester
04/11/23
England FA Cup
Shrewsbury3-2
HT 1-1
Colchester
27/02/16
England League 1
Colchester0-0
HT 0-0
Shrewsbury
10/10/15
England League 1
Shrewsbury4-2
HT 0-2
Colchester

Standings · England League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Barnet 7430 171015
2 Walsall 7340 10413
3 Grimsby 7340 11613
4 Gillingham 7331 11612
5 Cheltenham 7331 141112
6 Bristol Rovers 7403 121112
7 York 7322 131011
8 Chesterfield 7322 10811
9 Crewe 7250 7511
10 Tranmere 7241 9710
11 Fleetwood Town 7241 8710
12 Salford City 7313 8910
13 Swindon 7313 81110
14 Rotherham 7232 10109
15 Colchester 7232 8109
16 Oldham 7214 897
17 Rochdale 7214 7107
18 Shrewsbury 7214 5117
19 Newport County 7133 10116
20 Exeter 7133 456
21 Accrington Stanley 7133 10136
22 Northampton 7133 366
23 Port Vale 7124 395
24 Crawley Town 7115 6134

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentShrewsburyColchester
Crewe 1-1 D 1-1 D
Rochdale 0-3 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Colchester (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shrewsbury

DDLLLWLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Crewe
England League 2
1-1 1-1 96 D
12/09 Northampton
England League 2
2-0 2-0 12 W
05/09 Fleetwood Town
England League 2
0-1 0-2 48 L
01/09 Rochdale
England League 2
0-2 0-3 35 L
29/08 Salford City
England League 2
0-0 1-0 51 W
22/08 Barnet
England League 2
1-1 1-3 71 L
15/08 Tranmere
England League 2
0-1 0-2 55 L
02/05 Gillingham
England League 2
0-0 0-1 53 L
25/04 Fleetwood Town
England League 2
0-1 2-2 53 D
18/04 Crawley Town
England League 2
0-0 0-0 23 D

Colchester

LLWDWWLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Cheltenham
England League 2
0-0 1-1 38 D
12/09 Crewe
England League 2
1-0 1-1 11 D
05/09 Swindon
England League 2
1-0 1-3 62 L
01/09 Bristol Rovers
England League 2
0-1 0-2 24 L
29/08 Rochdale
England League 2
0-0 1-0 53 W
22/08 Oldham
England League 2
0-1 2-1 88 W
15/08 Accrington Stanley
England League 2
1-2 2-2 41 D
02/05 Cheltenham
England League 2
3-0 4-1 12 W
25/04 Notts County
England League 2
0-0 0-1 46 L
18/04 Harrogate Town
England League 2
0-0 0-1 55 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shrewsbury vs Colchester?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shrewsbury win (35%). Probabilities: Shrewsbury 35%, draw 30%, Colchester 35%.

How many goals are expected in Shrewsbury vs Colchester?

The model expects 2.15 goals (Shrewsbury 1.08 · Colchester 1.07), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Shrewsbury vs Colchester?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.