Football · England League 2 · 17/10, 13:30
Prediction: Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham
Team pages: Fleetwood Town · Rotherham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Fleetwood Town1.34
Rotherham1.11
1X2
Fleetwood Town
Draw
Rotherham
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Fleetwood Town
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Rotherham
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fleetwood Town
3–1–2
Rotherham
(6 last)
- Fleetwood Town2-1Rotherham
- Fleetwood Town0-2Rotherham
- Fleetwood Town1-0Rotherham
- Rotherham2-4Fleetwood Town
- Rotherham2-2Fleetwood Town
- Rotherham3-2Fleetwood Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fleetwood Town 1496 · Rotherham 1456
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Rotherham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fleetwood Town (rating 1496 vs 1456).
- H2H favours Fleetwood Town: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fleetwood Town | Rotherham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 1 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fleetwood Town 3–1–2 Rotherham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/24 England EFL Cup | Fleetwood Town | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Rotherham |
| 07/07/22 Club Friendly List | Fleetwood Town | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Rotherham |
| 15/01/22 England League 1 | Fleetwood Town | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rotherham |
| 11/09/21 England League 1 | Rotherham | 2-4 HT 2-1 | Fleetwood Town |
| 21/12/19 England League 1 | Rotherham | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Fleetwood Town |
| 07/04/18 England League 1 | Rotherham | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Fleetwood Town |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 15 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 14 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| 14 | Exeter | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 15 | Accrington Stanley | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 17 | Swindon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 11 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fleetwood Town | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| Salford City | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Gillingham | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Chesterfield | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fleetwood Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Walsall England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Rochdale England League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Barnet England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 01/09 | Oldham England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Grimsby England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Rotherham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Gillingham England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Crewe England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Northampton England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Salford City England League 2 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/09 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | York England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fleetwood Town win (41%). Probabilities: Fleetwood Town 41%, draw 29%, Rotherham 30%.
How many goals are expected in Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Fleetwood Town 1.34 · Rotherham 1.11), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.