Football · England League 2 · 17/10, 16:00
Prediction: Salford City vs Crawley Town
Team pages: Salford City · Crawley Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
Salford City2.32
Crawley Town0.89
1X2
Salford City
Draw
Crawley Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Salford City
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Crawley Town
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Salford City
2–3–1
Crawley Town
(6 last)
- Crawley Town0-0Salford City
- Salford City4-3Crawley Town
- Crawley Town0-1Salford City
- Salford City1-1Crawley Town
- Crawley Town3-2Salford City
- Salford City2-2Crawley Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salford City 1547 · Crawley Town 1444
| Salford City | Draw | Crawley Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 20% | 12% |
| Market | 69% | 19% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salford City (rating 1547 vs 1444).
- H2H favours Salford City: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Salford City | Crawley Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.5 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 5.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Salford City 2–3–1 Crawley Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 England League 2 | Crawley Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Salford City |
| 29/11/25 England League 2 | Salford City | 4-3 HT 1-1 | Crawley Town |
| 13/01/24 England League 2 | Crawley Town | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Salford City |
| 12/08/23 England League 2 | Salford City | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Crawley Town |
| 28/01/23 England League 2 | Crawley Town | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Salford City |
| 03/09/22 England League 2 | Salford City | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Crawley Town |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 15 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 14 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| 14 | Exeter | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 15 | Accrington Stanley | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 17 | Swindon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 11 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Salford City | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Chesterfield | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salford City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 03/10 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | Oldham England League 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Rotherham England League 2 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/09 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Barnet England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Crawley Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 19/09 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | Northampton England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Rochdale England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 15/08 | Crewe England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 02/05 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salford City vs Crawley Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Salford City win (69%). Probabilities: Salford City 69%, draw 19%, Crawley Town 12%.
How many goals are expected in Salford City vs Crawley Town?
The model expects 3.21 goals (Salford City 2.32 · Crawley Town 0.89), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Salford City vs Crawley Town?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.