Football · England League 2 · 20/10, 20:45

Prediction: Bristol Rovers vs Salford City

Team pages: Bristol Rovers · Salford City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

Bristol Rovers1.3

Salford City1.3

1X2

36% 29% 36%

Bristol Rovers Draw Salford City

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Bristol Rovers 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLWLLL

Salford City 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LLWWDWWWWW

Head-to-head

Bristol Rovers 2–1–1 Salford City (4 last)

Salford City1-0Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers2-1Salford City
Bristol Rovers1-0Salford City
Salford City1-1Bristol Rovers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bristol Rovers 1456 · Salford City 1549

	Bristol Rovers	Draw	Salford City
Our model	36%	29%	36%
Market	36%	29%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salford City (rating 1456 vs 1549).
H2H favours Bristol Rovers: 2-1-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bristol Rovers	Salford City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.3	3 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.4	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.25

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.60▲	Bet365 2.60
X	3.50 → 3.25▼	Pinn 3.48 ★
2	2.45 → 2.60▲	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.7% Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:39 +4’	2.50	3.50	2.45
04:17 +1’	2.60▲	3.25▼	2.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:15 +71’	2.60	3.48	2.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bristol Rovers 2–1–1 Salford City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 England League 2	Salford City	1-0 HT 1-0	Bristol Rovers
27/09/25 England League 2	Bristol Rovers	2-1 HT 1-1	Salford City
15/04/22 England League 2	Bristol Rovers	1-0 HT 0-0	Salford City
23/11/21 England League 2	Salford City	1-1 HT 0-1	Bristol Rovers

Standings · England League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Salford City	11	7	1	3	17	11	22
2	Barnet	9	6	3	0	22	12	21
3	Crewe	11	5	6	0	15	9	21
4	York	10	4	4	2	18	12	16
5	Walsall	10	3	7	0	13	7	16
6	Gillingham	11	4	4	3	16	13	16
7	Chesterfield	11	4	3	4	17	15	15
8	Cheltenham	11	4	3	4	17	20	15
9	Bristol Rovers	11	5	0	6	15	18	15
10	Accrington Stanley	11	3	5	3	16	15	14
11	Newport County	11	3	5	3	14	13	14
12	Fleetwood Town	11	3	5	3	12	11	14
13	Rochdale	11	4	2	5	13	15	14
14	Shrewsbury	11	4	2	5	10	15	14
15	Grimsby	11	3	4	4	13	13	13
16	Exeter	11	3	4	4	6	6	13
17	Tranmere	11	2	6	3	14	15	12
18	Swindon	11	3	3	5	10	15	12
19	Oldham	10	3	2	5	13	14	11
20	Colchester	10	2	5	3	10	13	11
21	Port Vale	9	3	2	4	5	9	11
22	Northampton	9	2	4	3	6	7	10
23	Rotherham	11	2	4	5	12	18	10
24	Crawley Town	9	1	2	6	9	17	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bristol Rovers	Salford City
Shrewsbury	0-1 L	0-1 L
Rotherham	1-0 W	3-3 D
Crawley Town	2-0 W	2-1 W
Newport County	5-3 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bristol Rovers (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bristol Rovers

WWWWLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Shrewsbury England League 2	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
10/10	Barnet England League 2	1-0	1-3	8	5	L
03/10	Crewe England League 2	0-2	1-3	5	8	L
26/09	Exeter England League 2	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
19/09	Gillingham England League 2	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
12/09	Grimsby England League 2	0-2	0-2	8	6	L
05/09	Rotherham England League 2	1-0	1-0	10	4	W
01/09	Colchester England League 2	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
29/08	Crawley Town England League 2	2-0	2-0	4	7	W
22/08	Newport County England League 2	1-1	5-3	–	–	W

Salford City

LLWWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Crawley Town England League 2	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
10/10	Cheltenham England League 2	0-0	2-0	4	10	W
03/10	Fleetwood Town England League 2	0-0	1-0	12	2	W
26/09	Oldham England League 2	2-1	4-1	5	2	W
19/09	Swindon England League 2	0-0	1-0	12	3	W
12/09	Rotherham England League 2	2-2	3-3	3	6	D
05/09	Port Vale England League 2	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
01/09	Newport County England League 2	0-0	2-1	10	4	W
29/08	Shrewsbury England League 2	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
22/08	Chesterfield England League 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bristol Rovers win (36%). Probabilities: Bristol Rovers 36%, draw 29%, Salford City 36%.

How many goals are expected in Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Bristol Rovers 1.3 · Salford City 1.3), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.