Football · England League 2 · 20/10, 20:45
Prediction: Exeter vs Crewe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
Exeter1.03
Crewe0.99
1X2
Exeter
Draw
Crewe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Exeter
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Crewe
4-6-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Exeter
4–2–0
Crewe
(6 last)
- Exeter1-1Crewe
- Crewe1-1Exeter
- Crewe1-2Exeter
- Exeter1-0Crewe
- Crewe1-2Exeter
- Exeter3-0Crewe
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crewe (rating 1508 vs 1557).
- H2H favours Exeter: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Exeter | Crewe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Exeter 4–2–0 Crewe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/20 England League 2 | Exeter | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Crewe |
| 05/10/19 England League 2 | Crewe | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Exeter |
| 23/02/19 England League 2 | Crewe | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Exeter |
| 15/12/18 England League 2 | Exeter | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Crewe |
| 20/02/18 England League 2 | Crewe | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Exeter |
| 16/09/17 England League 2 | Exeter | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Crewe |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Barnet | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Crewe | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | York | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 16 |
| 5 | Walsall | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Gillingham | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 16 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 15 |
| 10 | Accrington Stanley | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Newport County | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| 12 | Fleetwood Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Rochdale | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 14 |
| 15 | Grimsby | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| 16 | Exeter | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
| 18 | Swindon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
| 19 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 22 | Northampton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Exeter | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Rotherham | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Bristol Rovers | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Port Vale | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Walsall | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| York | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 5 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Crewe (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Exeter
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Rotherham England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Walsall England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 01/09 | Barnet England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | York England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
Crewe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 26/09 | Rotherham England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Colchester England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | York England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Walsall England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Northampton England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Exeter vs Crewe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Exeter win (34%). Probabilities: Exeter 34%, draw 33%, Crewe 32%.
How many goals are expected in Exeter vs Crewe?
The model expects 2.03 goals (Exeter 1.03 · Crewe 0.99), with a 59% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Exeter vs Crewe?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.