Football · England League 2 · 20/10, 20:45
Prediction: Walsall vs Oldham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Walsall1.42
Oldham1.28
1X2
Walsall
Draw
Oldham
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Walsall
3-7-0 (W-D-L)
Oldham
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Walsall
4–1–1
Oldham
(6 last)
- Walsall1-2Oldham
- Oldham0-1Walsall
- Walsall2-1Oldham
- Oldham1-3Walsall
- Walsall1-1Oldham
- Oldham2-3Walsall
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Walsall 1522 · Oldham 1492
| Walsall | Draw | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | 40% | 27% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Walsall: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Walsall | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.1 | 2.8 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Walsall 4–1–1 Oldham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/25 England League 2 | Walsall | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Oldham |
| 10/12/25 England League 2 | Oldham | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Walsall |
| 15/03/22 England League 2 | Walsall | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Oldham |
| 19/10/21 England League 2 | Oldham | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Walsall |
| 16/01/21 England League 2 | Walsall | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Oldham |
| 15/12/20 England League 2 | Oldham | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Walsall |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Barnet | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Crewe | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | York | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 16 |
| 5 | Walsall | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Gillingham | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 16 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 15 |
| 10 | Accrington Stanley | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Newport County | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| 12 | Fleetwood Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Rochdale | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 14 |
| 15 | Grimsby | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| 16 | Exeter | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
| 18 | Swindon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
| 19 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 22 | Northampton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Walsall | Oldham |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Fleetwood Town | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Tranmere | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Port Vale | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Rochdale | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Accrington Stanley | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Walsall (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Walsall
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 10/10 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 26/09 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Port Vale England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Rochdale England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 01/09 | Crewe England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
Oldham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | Salford City England League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Rochdale England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 12/09 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 01/09 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Colchester England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Walsall vs Oldham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Walsall win (39%). Probabilities: Walsall 39%, draw 28%, Oldham 33%.
How many goals are expected in Walsall vs Oldham?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Walsall 1.42 · Oldham 1.28), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Walsall vs Oldham?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.