Football · England League 1 · 29/08, 16:00
Prediction: Leyton Orient vs Barnsley
Team pages: Leyton Orient · Barnsley
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Leyton Orient1.38
Barnsley1.13
1X2
Leyton Orient
Draw
Barnsley
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Leyton Orient
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Barnsley
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leyton Orient
2–1–3
Barnsley
(6 last)
- Leyton Orient1-3Barnsley
- Barnsley3-2Leyton Orient
- Leyton Orient4-3Barnsley
- Barnsley0-4Leyton Orient
- Barnsley2-1Leyton Orient
- Leyton Orient1-1Barnsley
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leyton Orient 1489 · Barnsley 1503
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 27% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Barnsley: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leyton Orient | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.8 | 2.2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leyton Orient 2–1–3 Barnsley
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 England League 1 | Leyton Orient | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Barnsley |
| 13/12/25 England League 1 | Barnsley | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Leyton Orient |
| 18/04/25 England League 1 | Leyton Orient | 4-3 HT 0-2 | Barnsley |
| 21/12/24 England League 1 | Barnsley | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Leyton Orient |
| 10/02/24 England League 1 | Barnsley | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Leyton Orient |
| 21/10/23 England League 1 | Leyton Orient | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Barnsley |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Luton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 4 | Cambridge Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Blackpool | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Burton Albion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Bromley | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Stockport | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Sheff Wed | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Peterborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | Notts County | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 16 | Wycombe | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 17 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Leicester | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Stevenage | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 24 | Wigan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leyton Orient
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Wigan England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/04 | Mansfield England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Lincoln City England League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 06/04 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/04 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Exeter England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
Barnsley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Doncaster England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Bromley England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | Northampton England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Luton England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 21/04 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Bradford England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 14/04 | Port Vale England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Plymouth England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leyton Orient vs Barnsley?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leyton Orient win (42%). Probabilities: Leyton Orient 42%, draw 28%, Barnsley 30%.
How many goals are expected in Leyton Orient vs Barnsley?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Leyton Orient 1.38 · Barnsley 1.13), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Leyton Orient vs Barnsley?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.