Prediction: Doncaster vs Plymouth
Team pages: Doncaster · Plymouth
- Plymouth2-1Doncaster
- Doncaster1-5Plymouth
- Doncaster1-3Plymouth
- Plymouth2-1Doncaster
- Doncaster2-1Plymouth
- Plymouth2-1Doncaster
| Doncaster | Draw | Plymouth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 27% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plymouth (rating 1461 vs 1590).
- H2H favours Plymouth: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Doncaster | Plymouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.5 | 3.7 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Doncaster 1–0–5 Plymouth
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 England League 1 | Plymouth | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Doncaster |
| 20/12/25 England League 1 | Doncaster | 1-5 HT 1-3 | Plymouth |
| 29/01/22 England League 1 | Doncaster | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Plymouth |
| 25/09/21 England League 1 | Plymouth | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Doncaster |
| 06/03/21 England League 1 | Doncaster | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Plymouth |
| 27/10/20 England League 1 | Plymouth | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Doncaster |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blackpool | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Sheff Wed | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Stockport | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Bradford | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Notts County | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Luton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Plymouth | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Bromley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 14 | Mansfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Milton Keynes Dons | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 18 | Stevenage | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 20 | Leicester | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 21 | Wycombe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 22 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 24 | Wigan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Doncaster | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Northampton | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Exeter | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Plymouth (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Doncaster
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Barnsley England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Mansfield England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Peterborough England League 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 21/04 | Lincoln City England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Northampton England League 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 11/04 | Reading England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Exeter England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/04 | Mansfield England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Plymouth
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Bradford England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Wycombe England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Northampton England League 1 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Port Vale England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/04 | Bradford England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Exeter England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 06/04 | Barnsley England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | Bolton England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Doncaster vs Plymouth?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Doncaster win (38%). Probabilities: Doncaster 38%, draw 27%, Plymouth 35%.
How many goals are expected in Doncaster vs Plymouth?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Doncaster 1.52 · Plymouth 1.44), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Doncaster vs Plymouth?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.