Football · England League 1 · 05/09, 16:00
Prediction: Reading vs Blackpool
Team pages: Reading · Blackpool
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Reading1.26
Blackpool1
1X2
Reading
Draw
Blackpool
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Reading
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Blackpool
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Reading
2–4
Blackpool
(6 last)
- Reading0-1Blackpool
- Blackpool0-3Reading
- Blackpool3-0Reading
- Reading0-3Blackpool
- Reading3-2Blackpool
- Blackpool4-1Reading
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reading 1545 · Blackpool 1540
| Reading | Draw | Blackpool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 31% | 28% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Blackpool: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Reading | Blackpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.8 | 3.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Reading 2–0–4 Blackpool
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 England League 1 | Reading | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Blackpool |
| 29/11/25 England League 1 | Blackpool | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Reading |
| 01/04/25 England League 1 | Blackpool | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Reading |
| 14/12/24 England League 1 | Reading | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Blackpool |
| 27/04/24 England League 1 | Reading | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Blackpool |
| 23/09/23 England League 1 | Blackpool | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Reading |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blackpool | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Sheff Wed | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Stockport | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Bradford | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Notts County | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Luton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Plymouth | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Bromley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 14 | Mansfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Milton Keynes Dons | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 18 | Stevenage | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 20 | Leicester | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 21 | Wycombe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 22 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 24 | Wigan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reading
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Luton England League 1 |
3-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Cardiff England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | Doncaster England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Lincoln City England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 28/03 | Wigan England League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 21/03 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
Blackpool
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Peterborough England League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | Stockport England League 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Wycombe England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Reading England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Wycombe England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Peterborough England League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Exeter England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reading vs Blackpool?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Reading win (42%). Probabilities: Reading 42%, draw 29%, Blackpool 29%.
How many goals are expected in Reading vs Blackpool?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Reading 1.26 · Blackpool 1), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Reading vs Blackpool?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.