Football · England League 1 · 05/09, 13:30
Prediction: Wigan vs Stockport
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Wigan1.25
Stockport1.59
1X2
Wigan
Draw
Stockport
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Wigan
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Stockport
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wigan
1–3–2
Stockport
(6 last)
- Stockport4-2Wigan
- Stockport1-1Wigan
- Wigan1-1Stockport
- Wigan1-0Stockport
- Wigan0-2Stockport
- Stockport0-0Wigan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wigan 1458 · Stockport 1577
| Wigan | Draw | Stockport | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| Market | 29% | 28% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stockport (rating 1458 vs 1577).
- H2H favours Stockport: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wigan | Stockport | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.9 | 3.8 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wigan 1–3–2 Stockport
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 England League 1 | Stockport | 4-2 HT 2-2 | Wigan |
| 11/11/25 England EFL Trophy | Stockport | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Wigan |
| 30/08/25 England League 1 | Wigan | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Stockport |
| 26/08/25 England EFL Cup | Wigan | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Stockport |
| 15/02/25 England League 1 | Wigan | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Stockport |
| 05/10/24 England League 1 | Stockport | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wigan |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blackpool | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Sheff Wed | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Stockport | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Bradford | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Notts County | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Luton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Plymouth | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Bromley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 14 | Mansfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Milton Keynes Dons | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 18 | Stevenage | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 20 | Leicester | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 21 | Wycombe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 22 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 24 | Wigan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wigan | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Port Vale | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Mansfield | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Wigan (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wigan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Port Vale England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 14/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Mansfield England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Northampton England League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 02/04 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Reading England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 0 | L |
Stockport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Wycombe England League 1 |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Plymouth England League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Bolton England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Stevenage England League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Barnsley England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 28/04 | Port Vale England League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Peterborough England League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 21/04 | Mansfield England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wigan vs Stockport?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Stockport win (44%). Probabilities: Wigan 29%, draw 27%, Stockport 44%.
How many goals are expected in Wigan vs Stockport?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Wigan 1.25 · Stockport 1.59), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Wigan vs Stockport?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.