Prediction: Luton vs Leyton Orient
Team pages: Luton · Leyton Orient
- Luton3-0Leyton Orient
- Leyton Orient1-1Luton
- Luton2-2Leyton Orient
- Leyton Orient1-2Luton
- Leyton Orient0-1Luton
- Luton1-1Leyton Orient
| Luton | Draw | Leyton Orient | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luton (rating 1614 vs 1488).
- H2H favours Luton: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Luton | Leyton Orient | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.5 | 2.7 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luton 3–3–0 Leyton Orient
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/25 England League 1 | Luton | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Leyton Orient |
| 09/12/25 England League 1 | Leyton Orient | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Luton |
| 14/04/17 England League 2 | Luton | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Leyton Orient |
| 15/10/16 England League 2 | Leyton Orient | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Luton |
| 05/03/16 England League 2 | Leyton Orient | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Luton |
| 20/10/15 England League 2 | Luton | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Leyton Orient |
Standings · England League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blackpool | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Sheff Wed | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Stockport | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Bradford | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Notts County | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Luton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Plymouth | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Bromley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 14 | Mansfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Milton Keynes Dons | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 18 | Stevenage | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 20 | Leicester | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 21 | Wycombe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 22 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 24 | Wigan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Luton | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Rotherham | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Mansfield | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Luton (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Notts County England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 15/08 | Reading England League 1 |
1-3 | 4-3 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Bolton England League 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Barnsley England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 21/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Mansfield England League 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 15/04 | Northampton England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | Peterborough England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | Stockport England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
Leyton Orient
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Barnsley England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | Wigan England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/04 | Mansfield England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Lincoln City England League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 06/04 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/04 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luton vs Leyton Orient?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Luton win (57%). Probabilities: Luton 57%, draw 24%, Leyton Orient 19%.
How many goals are expected in Luton vs Leyton Orient?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Luton 1.87 · Leyton Orient 1.01), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Luton vs Leyton Orient?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.