Football · England League 1 · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: Stevenage vs Doncaster

Team pages: Stevenage · Doncaster

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
Stevenage1.2
Doncaster0.84
1X2
44% 31% 25%
Stevenage Draw Doncaster
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stevenage 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWLDWDWLLD
Doncaster 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLLWWLDWLD
Head-to-head
Stevenage 2–2–2 Doncaster (6 last)
  • Doncaster1-1Stevenage
  • Stevenage0-0Doncaster
  • Stevenage1-0Doncaster
  • Doncaster0-1Stevenage
  • Doncaster1-0Stevenage
  • Stevenage3-4Doncaster
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stevenage 1505 · Doncaster 1512
StevenageDrawDoncaster
Our model43%32%25%
Market45%29%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

StevenageDoncaster
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.21 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.11.3 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.13.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stevenage 222 Doncaster

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
England League 1
Doncaster1-1
HT 0-1
Stevenage
22/11/25
England League 1
Stevenage0-0
HT 0-0
Doncaster
18/04/23
England League 2
Stevenage1-0
HT 1-0
Doncaster
25/10/22
England League 2
Doncaster0-1
HT 0-1
Stevenage
02/01/17
England League 2
Doncaster1-0
HT 0-0
Stevenage
03/12/16
England League 2
Stevenage3-4
HT 0-3
Doncaster

Standings · England League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Bradford 2200 306
2 Huddersfield 2110 414
3 Luton 2110 654
4 Cambridge Utd 2110 434
4 Oxford Utd 2110 434
6 Blackpool 2110 324
6 Burton Albion 2110 324
8 Bromley 2110 214
9 Stockport 2101 433
10 Leyton Orient 2101 323
11 Mansfield 2101 333
12 Sheff Wed 2101 223
13 Peterborough 2101 233
14 Milton Keynes Dons 2020 332
14 Notts County 2020 332
16 Wycombe 2020 222
17 Reading 2011 341
18 Leicester 2011 231
18 Stevenage 2011 231
20 Doncaster 2011 121
21 Barnsley 2011 011
22 Plymouth 2011 241
23 AFC Wimbledon 2011 031
24 Wigan 2002 250

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentStevenageDoncaster
Barnsley 1-0 W 0-0 D
Lincoln City 2-2 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Stevenage (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stevenage

WWLDWDWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Burton Albion
England League 1
0-0 1-1 00 D
13/05 Stockport
England League 1
0-2 0-2 53 L
09/05 Stockport
England League 1
0-0 0-1 43 L
02/05 Wigan
England League 1
0-0 1-0 32 W
25/04 Doncaster
England League 1
1-0 1-1 33 D
21/04 Barnsley
England League 1
1-0 1-0 50 W
18/04 Lincoln City
England League 1
2-1 2-2 24 D
14/04 Bolton
England League 1
0-2 1-5 32 L
11/04 Bradford
England League 1
0-0 1-0 05 W
06/04 Blackpool
England League 1
0-0 1-0 63 W

Doncaster

WLLWWLDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Barnsley
England League 1
0-0 0-0 42 D
15/08 Mansfield
England League 1
0-1 1-2 13 L
02/05 Peterborough
England League 1
0-0 3-1 34 W
25/04 Stevenage
England League 1
0-1 1-1 43 D
21/04 Lincoln City
England League 1
0-1 0-2 13 L
18/04 Northampton
England League 1
0-0 3-1 57 W
11/04 Reading
England League 1
0-0 1-0 23 W
06/04 Exeter
England League 1
0-1 0-3 41 L
03/04 Mansfield
England League 1
0-0 0-2 23 L
24/03 Port Vale
England League 1
1-0 1-0 43 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stevenage vs Doncaster?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stevenage win (44%). Probabilities: Stevenage 44%, draw 31%, Doncaster 25%.

How many goals are expected in Stevenage vs Doncaster?

The model expects 2.03 goals (Stevenage 1.2 · Doncaster 0.84), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Stevenage vs Doncaster?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.