Football · England League 1 · 01/09, 20:45

Prediction: Peterborough vs Stevenage

Team pages: Peterborough · Stevenage

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Peterborough1.15
Stevenage1.12
1X2
36% 30% 35%
Peterborough Draw Stevenage
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Peterborough 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DLLDLDLLWL
Stevenage 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDWDWLLDLD
Head-to-head
Peterborough 3–1–2 Stevenage (6 last)
  • Stevenage1-0Peterborough
  • Peterborough0-1Stevenage
  • Stevenage1-1Peterborough
  • Peterborough2-0Stevenage
  • Peterborough2-1Stevenage
  • Peterborough3-1Stevenage
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peterborough 1485 · Stevenage 1493
PeterboroughDrawStevenage
Our model35%31%34%
Market37%28%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Peterborough: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PeterboroughStevenage
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 2.11 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/70/30%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.42.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.22.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Peterborough 312 Stevenage

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/01/26
England League 1
Stevenage1-0
HT 0-0
Peterborough
25/11/25
England League 1
Peterborough0-1
HT 0-1
Stevenage
15/02/25
England League 1
Stevenage1-1
HT 0-0
Peterborough
08/10/24
England EFL Trophy
Peterborough2-0
HT 2-0
Stevenage
05/10/24
England League 1
Peterborough2-1
HT 1-0
Stevenage
13/03/24
England League 1
Peterborough3-1
HT 1-0
Stevenage

Standings · England League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Blackpool 3210 727
2 Huddersfield 3210 627
3 Sheff Wed 3201 946
3 Stockport 3201 946
5 Bradford 3201 326
6 Notts County 3120 545
7 Luton 2110 654
8 Oxford Utd 2110 434
9 Barnsley 3111 324
10 Cambridge Utd 3111 554
11 Burton Albion 3111 444
11 Plymouth 3111 444
13 Bromley 3111 484
14 Mansfield 2101 333
14 Milton Keynes Dons 3030 333
16 Leyton Orient 3102 453
17 Peterborough 3102 273
18 Stevenage 3021 452
19 Doncaster 3021 342
20 Leicester 3021 232
21 Wycombe 3021 372
22 Reading 2011 341
23 AFC Wimbledon 2011 031
24 Wigan 2002 250

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPeterboroughStevenage
Doncaster 1-3 L 2-2 D
Stockport 1-3 L 0-2 L
Burton Albion 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Stevenage (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Peterborough

DLLDLDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Blackpool
England League 1
0-2 0-4 50 L
22/08 Mansfield
England League 1
0-0 2-1 64 W
15/08 Bradford
England League 1
0-0 0-2 35 L
02/05 Doncaster
England League 1
0-0 1-3 64 L
28/04 Mansfield
England League 1
0-0 0-0 52 D
25/04 Stockport
England League 1
1-1 1-3 73 L
19/04 Burton Albion
England League 1
0-1 1-1 43 D
16/04 Port Vale
England League 1
1-2 1-3 92 L
11/04 Blackpool
England League 1
1-1 1-3 34 L
06/04 Cardiff
England League 1
0-0 1-1 64 D

Stevenage

LDWDWLLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Doncaster
England League 1
0-0 2-2 93 D
22/08 Oxford Utd
England League 1
0-0 1-2 65 L
15/08 Burton Albion
England League 1
0-0 1-1 00 D
13/05 Stockport
England League 1
0-2 0-2 53 L
09/05 Stockport
England League 1
0-0 0-1 43 L
02/05 Wigan
England League 1
0-0 1-0 32 W
25/04 Doncaster
England League 1
1-0 1-1 33 D
21/04 Barnsley
England League 1
1-0 1-0 50 W
18/04 Lincoln City
England League 1
2-1 2-2 24 D
14/04 Bolton
England League 1
0-2 1-5 32 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peterborough vs Stevenage?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Peterborough win (36%). Probabilities: Peterborough 36%, draw 30%, Stevenage 35%.

How many goals are expected in Peterborough vs Stevenage?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Peterborough 1.15 · Stevenage 1.12), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Peterborough vs Stevenage?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.