Football · England League 1 · 26/09, 16:00
Prediction: Wycombe vs Reading
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Wycombe1.66
Reading1.56
1X2
Wycombe
Draw
Reading
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Wycombe
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Reading
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wycombe
1–3–2
Reading
(6 last)
- Reading1-1Wycombe
- Reading3-2Wycombe
- Wycombe2-2Reading
- Reading1-0Wycombe
- Wycombe1-1Reading
- Reading1-2Wycombe
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wycombe 1489 · Reading 1517
| Wycombe | Draw | Reading | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 25% | 35% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Reading: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wycombe | Reading | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.1 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7.3 | 3.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wycombe 1–3–2 Reading
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/26 England EFL Trophy | Reading | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Wycombe |
| 14/02/26 England League 1 | Reading | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Wycombe |
| 23/08/25 England League 1 | Wycombe | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Reading |
| 05/04/25 England League 1 | Reading | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Wycombe |
| 07/12/24 England League 1 | Wycombe | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Reading |
| 09/03/24 England League 1 | Reading | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Wycombe |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheff Wed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Plymouth | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 13 |
| 4 | Huddersfield | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Oxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Reading | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Stockport | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 10 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 12 | Burton Albion | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 9 |
| 13 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 14 | Wycombe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wycombe | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Rotherham | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wycombe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 1 |
2-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Stockport England League 1 |
1-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Plymouth England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Blackpool England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Rotherham England League 1 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Lincoln City England League 1 |
0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
Reading
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Notts County England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Blackpool England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/09 | Mansfield England League 1 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Luton England League 1 |
3-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Cardiff England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | Doncaster England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wycombe vs Reading?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wycombe win (39%). Probabilities: Wycombe 39%, draw 26%, Reading 35%.
How many goals are expected in Wycombe vs Reading?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Wycombe 1.66 · Reading 1.56), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Wycombe vs Reading?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.